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vTv Therapeutics (vTv Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-288.84 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is vTv Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-01), vTv Therapeutics's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-288.84.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

vTv Therapeutics's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for vTv Therapeutics is N/A.

The industry rank for vTv Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

VTVT's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 1.675
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

vTv Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for vTv Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

vTv Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

vTv Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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vTv Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of vTv Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, vTv Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


vTv Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, vTv Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where vTv Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



vTv Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.64%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> vTv Therapeutics's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 23.60%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-9.243.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

vTv Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-9.243*31.2501
=-288.84

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-288.84-26.9816)/-288.84
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


vTv Therapeutics  (NAS:VTVT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


vTv Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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vTv Therapeutics (vTv Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3980 Premier Drive, Suite 310, High Point, NC, USA, 27265
vTv Therapeutics Inc is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of orally administered treatments for diabetes. The company lead program is TTP399, an orally administered, small molecule, liver-selective glucokinase activator (GKA) that is a potential adjunctive therapy to insulin for the treatment of type 1 diabetes.
Executives
Steven L. Tuch officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O VTV THERAPEUTICS INC., 3980 PREMIER DRIVE, HIGH POINT NC 27265
John A Fry director C/O DELAWARE INVESTMENTS, 2005 MARKET ST. 34TH FL., PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Jonathan Isaacsohn director C/O VTV THERAPEUTICS INC., 3980 PREMIER DRIVE, HIGH POINT NC 27265
Paul J Sekhri director, officer: President and CEO C/O VEEVA SYSTEMS INC., 4637 CHABOT DRIVE, SUITE 210, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Fahed Al-marzooqi director AL KHATEM TOWER, ABU DHABI GLOBAL MARKET, ABU DHABI C0 00000
Keith R. Harris director C/O MEIRAGTX - US, 430 EAST 29TH STREET, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Hersh Kozlov director WOLF BLOCK SCHORR & SOLIS, 1940 RTE 70 E, CHERRY HILL NJ 08003
Howard L. Weiner director 4170 MENDENHALL OAKS PKWY, HIGH POINT NC 27265
Chandresh Harjivan director C/O VTV THERAPEUTICS INC., 3980 PREMIER DRIVE, HIGH POINT NC 27265
Al-nahyan Tahnoon Bin Zayed S. 10 percent owner OFFICE 2458, FLOOR 24, AL-SILA TOWER, ABU DHABI C0 00000
G42 Investments Ai Holdings Rsc Ltd. director, 10 percent owner OFFICE 801, FLOOR 8, AL KHATEM TOWER, ABU DHABI C0 00000
Barry K. Brown officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O VTV THERAPEUTICS INC., 3980 PREMIER DRIVE, HIGH POINT NC 27265
Rich S. Nelson director, officer: Acting Chief Executive Officer C/O VTV THERAPEUTICS INC., 3980 PREMIER DRIVE, HIGH POINT NC 27265
Ronald O Perelman 10 percent owner 35 EAST 62ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10021
Deepa Prasad director, officer: President and CEO C/O VTV THERAPEUTICS INC., 3980 PREMIER DRIVE, SUITE 310, HIGH POINT NC 27265

vTv Therapeutics (vTv Therapeutics) Headlines

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