GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » Aflac Inc (NYSE:AFL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Aflac (AFL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $116.72 (As of Jun. 18, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1974. Start your Free Trial

What is Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-18), Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $116.72. The stock price of Aflac is $88.64. Therefore, Aflac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AFL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18   Med: 0.35   Max: 0.76
Current: 0.76

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aflac was 0.76. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 0.35.

AFL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
56.46% of 395 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs AFL: 0.76

Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aflac Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 115.82 127.51 131.55 112.22 111.04

Aflac Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 112.65 113.79 121.26 111.04 116.72

Competitive Comparison of Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Life subindustry, Aflac's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aflac's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Aflac's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aflac's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aflac's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $4,863.36.

Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.9881567514702*4863.36+23537*0.8)/577.482
=116.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aflac  (NYSE:AFL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aflac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=88.64/116.72329530415
=0.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aflac (AFL) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1932 Wynnton Road, Columbus, GA, USA, 31999
Aflac Inc offers supplemental health insurance and life insurance in the two largest insurance markets in the world, the U.S. and Japan. In addition to its cancer policies, the company has broadened its product offerings to include accident, disability, and long-term-care insurance. It markets its products through independent distributors, selling most of its policies directly to consumers at their places of work.
Executives
Steven Kent Beaver officer: SVP, CFO, Aflac US 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Masatoshi Koide officer: Deputy President, Aflac Japan 1932 WYNNTON RD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
June P Howard officer: Sr. Vice President 1932 WYNNTON RD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Lake Charles D Ii officer: President AFLAC Japan AFLAC INC, 1932 WYNNTON RD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Frederick John Crawford officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer AFLAC INCORPORATED, COLUMBUS GA 31999
William P Bowers director 600 NORTH 18TH STREET, BIN 15N-8170, BIRMINGHAM AL 35203
Joseph L Moskowitz director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Simard Frederic Jean Guy officer: SVP, CFO, Aflac U.S. 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
James Todd Daniels officer: Sr. Vice President 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Albert Riggieri officer: SVP, Corporate Actuary 1932 WYNNTON RD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Virgil Raynard Miller officer: President, Aflac U.S. 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Barbara K Rimer director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Miwako Hosoda director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Bradley Eugene Dyslin officer: Executive Vice President 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Audrey B Tillman officer: Executive Vice President 1932 WYNNTON RD, COLUMBUS GA 31999