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ESPR (Esperion Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-8.62 (As of Jan. 18, 2025)


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What is Esperion Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-01-18), Esperion Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-8.62. The stock price of Esperion Therapeutics is $2.21. Therefore, Esperion Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Esperion Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Esperion Therapeutics was 112.33. The lowest was 59.74. And the median was 87.91.

ESPR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.64
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Esperion Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Esperion Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Esperion Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Esperion Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -26.01 -35.31 -38.42 -24.24 -17.61

Esperion Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -17.19 -17.61 -8.68 -8.76 -8.62

Competitive Comparison of Esperion Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Esperion Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Esperion Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Esperion Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Esperion Therapeutics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Esperion Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Esperion Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-127.87.

Esperion Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-127.87216+-370.209/0.8)/194.931
=-8.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Esperion Therapeutics  (NAS:ESPR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Esperion Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.21/-8.6191994733289
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Esperion Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Esperion Therapeutics Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3891 Ranchero Drive, Suite 150, Ann Arbor, MI, USA, 48108
Esperion Therapeutics Inc is a pharmaceutical company. It specializes in developing and commercializing accessible, oral, once-daily, non-statin medicines for patients struggling with elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. The firm has the business of researching, developing and commercializing therapies for the treatment of patients with the elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol operating segment. Its products include NEXLETOL, NEXLIZET, NILEMDO and NUSTENDI. The Company manages its business in one operating segment, which is the business of researching, developing and commercializing therapies for the treatment of patients with elevated LDL-C.
Executives
Eric Warren officer: Chief Commercial Officer 3891 RANCHERO DRIVE, SUITE 150, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Sheldon L. Koenig officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O PORTOLA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 270 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Joanne M. Foody officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O ESPERION THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3891 RANCHERO DRIVE, SUITE 150, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
J Martin Carroll director C/O CATALENT, INC., 14 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, SOMERSET NJ 08873
Stephen Rocamboli director C/OPARMOUNT CAPITAL, 787 SEVENTH AVE 48TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10019
Benjamin Looker officer: General Counsel C/O TRILLIUM THERAPEUTICS INC., 2488 DUNWIN DRIVE, MISSISSAUGA A6 L5L 1J9
Benjamin Halladay officer: Chief Financial Officer ESPERION THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3891 RANCHERO DRIVE, SUITE 150, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Fischer Seth H.z. director C/O TRIUS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 6310 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 101, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Biotech Target N V 10 percent owner ARA HILL TOP BUILDING, UNIT A-5, PLETTERIJWEG OOST 1, CURACAO, WILLEMSTAD P8 000000
Alan Fuhrman director C/O AMBIT BIOSCIENCES CORPORATION, 11080 ROSELLE STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Timothy M Mayleben director, officer: Pres & Chief Executive Officer 3621 SOUTH STATE ST, 695 KMS PL, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Ashley Hall officer: Chief Development Officer C/O ESPERION THERAPEUTICS INC., 3891 RANCHERO DRIVE SUITE 150, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Tracy M Woody director 2656 CROSSPARK ROAD, SUITE 100, CORALVILLE IA 52241
Richard Bartram officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ESPERION THERAPEUTICS, INC., 3891 RANCHERO DRIVE, SUITE 150, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Nicole Vitullo director, 10 percent owner 3030 SCIENCE PARK ROAD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121