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Norske Skog ASA (OSL:NSKOG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : kr27.14 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Norske Skog ASA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-27), Norske Skog ASA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr27.14. The stock price of Norske Skog ASA is kr41.00. Therefore, Norske Skog ASA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Norske Skog ASA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

OSL:NSKOG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99   Med: 1.55   Max: 4.37
Current: 1.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Norske Skog ASA was 4.37. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 1.55.

OSL:NSKOG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
79.48% of 229 companies
in the Forest Products industry
Industry Median: 0.77 vs OSL:NSKOG: 1.51

Norske Skog ASA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Norske Skog ASA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Norske Skog ASA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Norske Skog ASA Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 44.35 24.94 8.79 34.15 27.14

Norske Skog ASA Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.15 32.40 26.59 10.18 27.14

Competitive Comparison of Norske Skog ASA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Norske Skog ASA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Norske Skog ASA's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Norske Skog ASA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Norske Skog ASA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Norske Skog ASA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Norske Skog ASA's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = kr-257.44.

Norske Skog ASA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.267806016876*-257.44+6160*0.8)/65.200
=27.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Norske Skog ASA  (OSL:NSKOG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Norske Skog ASA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=41.00/27.143803972631
=1.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Norske Skog ASA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Norske Skog ASA (OSL:NSKOG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Sjolyst plass 2, Oslo, NOR, 0278
Norske Skog ASA is an industrial company in publication paper, packaging paper, energy production, and bioproducts. Publication paper products comprise both newsprint and magazine paper, both of which are marketed under the NOR brand. Packaging paper includes the recycled containerboard grades test liner and fluting, which are marketed under the STRATO brand. The company's core bioproducts are the nano cellulose product CEBINA and the bio-composite product CEBICO. Norske Skog owns and operates four industrial sites in Europe, and one industrial site in Australasia.

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