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Norske Skog ASA (OSL:NSKOG) Beneish M-Score : -3.25 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Norske Skog ASA Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.25 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Norske Skog ASA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSL:NSKOG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.98   Med: -2.98   Max: -0.95
Current: -3.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Norske Skog ASA was -0.95. The lowest was -4.98. And the median was -2.98.


Norske Skog ASA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Norske Skog ASA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Norske Skog ASA Beneish M-Score Chart

Norske Skog ASA Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.95 -4.54 -2.10 -1.58 -3.25

Norske Skog ASA Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.58 -2.06 -3.09 -2.74 -3.25

Competitive Comparison of Norske Skog ASA's Beneish M-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Norske Skog ASA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Norske Skog ASA's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Norske Skog ASA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Norske Skog ASA's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Norske Skog ASA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Norske Skog ASA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0232+0.528 * 1.1218+0.404 * 0.3803+0.892 * 0.8107+0.115 * 1.5057
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1351+4.679 * -0.098136-0.327 * 1.0242
=-3.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr1,426 Mil.
Revenue was 2854 + 2643 + 3118 + 3171 = kr11,786 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1033 + 1032 + 1170 + 1536 = kr4,771 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr5,686 Mil.
Total Assets was kr14,755 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr8,566 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr514 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr1,235 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr2,914 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr4,536 Mil.
Net Income was 482 + 134 + 45 + -181 = kr480 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 972 + 173 + 353 + 430 = kr1,928 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr1,719 Mil.
Revenue was 3849 + 3541 + 3822 + 3326 = kr14,538 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2007 + 1438 + 1851 + 1306 = kr6,602 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr6,540 Mil.
Total Assets was kr13,609 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr5,849 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr545 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr1,342 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr3,278 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr3,431 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1426 / 11786) / (1719 / 14538)
=0.120991 / 0.118242
=1.0232

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6602 / 14538) / (4771 / 11786)
=0.45412 / 0.404802
=1.1218

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5686 + 8566) / 14755) / (1 - (6540 + 5849) / 13609)
=0.03409 / 0.089647
=0.3803

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11786 / 14538
=0.8107

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(545 / (545 + 5849)) / (514 / (514 + 8566))
=0.085236 / 0.056608
=1.5057

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1235 / 11786) / (1342 / 14538)
=0.104785 / 0.09231
=1.1351

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4536 + 2914) / 14755) / ((3431 + 3278) / 13609)
=0.504914 / 0.492983
=1.0242

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(480 - 0 - 1928) / 14755
=-0.098136

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Norske Skog ASA has a M-score of -3.25 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Norske Skog ASA Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Norske Skog ASA (OSL:NSKOG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Sjolyst plass 2, Oslo, NOR, 0278
Norske Skog ASA is an industrial company in publication paper, packaging paper, energy production, and bioproducts. Publication paper products comprise both newsprint and magazine paper, both of which are marketed under the NOR brand. Packaging paper includes the recycled containerboard grades test liner and fluting, which are marketed under the STRATO brand. The company's core bioproducts are the nano cellulose product CEBINA and the bio-composite product CEBICO. Norske Skog owns and operates four industrial sites in Europe, and one industrial site in Australasia.

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