3M Co (NYSE:MMM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $120.48 (As of Today)

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As of today (2023-05-28), 3M Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $120.48.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

3M Co's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for 3M Co is 19.54%.

The historical rank and industry rank for 3M Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MMM' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.48 Med: 1.34 Max: 3.09
Current: 0.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of 3M Co was 3.09. The lowest was 0.48. And the median was 1.34.

MMM's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
54.1% of 61 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 0.75 vs MMM: 0.80

3M Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for 3M Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

3M Co Annual Data

Trend

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

134.43

120.15

150.52

149.37

126.72

3M Co Quarterly Data
	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)																130.23	97.03	143.33	126.72	120.48

3M Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $9.650.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

3M Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)	=	EPS without NRI	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

EPS without NRI

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

EPS without NRI

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

9.650

12.485

120.48

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
	=	(120.48	-	96.94)	/	120.48
	=	19.54 %

3M Co (NYSE:MMM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

3M Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of 3M Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

3M Co (NYSE:MMM) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Conglomerates » 3M Co (NYSE:MMM) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

MMM:Mexico MMM:Germany MMM:Switzerland MMMC34:Brazil MMM:Austria MMM:Argentina

Address

3M Center, St. Paul, MN, USA, 55144

Website

https://www.3m.com

3M is a multinational conglomerate that has operated since 1902, when it was known as Minnesota Mining and Manufacturing. The company is well known for its research and development laboratory and it leverages its science and technology across multiple product categories. As of 2020, 3M is organized into four business segments: safety and industrial, transportation and electronics, healthcare, and consumer. Nearly 50% of the company's revenue comes from outside the Americas, with the safety and industrial segment constituting a plurality of net sales. Many of the company's 60,000-plus products touch and concern a variety of consumers and end markets.

Executives

Suzan Kereere	director	255 FISERV DRIVE, BROOKFIELD WI 53045
Kevin H Rhodes	officer: EVP & Chief Legal Officer	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BLDG 220-09-E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Peter D Gibbons	officer: Group President	2401 UTAH AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 800, SEATTLE WA 98134
Chavez Rodriguez Beatriz Karina	officer: Senior Vice President	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER BLDG 220-09-E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Mark W. Murphy	officer: Executive Vice President	ONE ST. JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55117
Zoe L Dickson	officer: Executive Vice President	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BLDG 220 09 E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
James R Fitterling	director	2211 H.H. DOW WAY, MIDLAND MI 48674
Jeffrey R Lavers	officer: Executive Vice President	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BLDG 220 09 E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Veena M Lakkundi	officer: Senior Vice President	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BLDG 220 09 E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Monish D Patolawala	officer: Senior VP and CFO	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BLDG 220 09 E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Vinita Lee Piper	other: IVM001	712 WILCREST, SUITE 3020, HOUSTON TX 77042
Pamela Craig	director	C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Ty R Silberhorn	officer: Senior Vice President	3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST PAUL MN 55144-1000
Theresa E Reinseth	officer: Vice President/CAO	3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST PAUL MN 55144-1000
Denise R Rutherford	officer: Senior Vice President	3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST PAUL MN 55144-1000