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Boston Omaha Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $62.26 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-11-30), Boston Omaha's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $62.26.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Boston Omaha's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Boston Omaha is 54.26%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Boston Omaha's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:


Boston Omaha Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Boston Omaha's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Boston Omaha Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only - - - - -

Boston Omaha Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Boston Omaha Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $4.218.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Boston Omaha's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=4.218*14.7595
=62.26

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(62.26-28.48)/62.26
=54.26 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Boston Omaha  (NAS:BOMN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Boston Omaha Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Boston Omaha's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Boston Omaha Business Description

Boston Omaha logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1601 Dodge Street, Suite 3300, Omaha, NE, USA, 68102
Boston Omaha Corp is a US-based company which invests in real estate. Its operations include its ownership of multiple billboards in Florida, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Alabama and equity method investments in several real estate companies. The company operates three separate lines of business, outdoor billboard advertising, surety insurance and related brokerage activities, and broadband services. It also engages in investments in real estate management and related activities. The company generates the majority of the revenue from billboard rentals.
Executives
Weisenburger Joshua Paul officer: Chief Financial Officer 1411 HARNEY ST. SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Briner Bradford B director 705 GIMGHOUL ROAD CHAPEL HILL NC 27514
Keating Brendan Joseph director 8918 SPANISH RIDGE AVENUE, SUITE 100 LAS VEGAS NV 89148
Boulderado Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 292 NEWBURY STREET SUITE 333 BOSTON MA 02115
Boulderado Group, Llc other: Manager is Director and Co-CEO 304 NEWBURY STREET SUITE 333 BOSTON MA 02115
Boulderado Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 292 NEWBURY STREET BOSTON MA 02115
Rozek Alexander Buffett director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 292 NEWBURY ST #333 BOSTON MA 02115
Magnolia Group, Llc 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY STREET SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Magnolia Boc Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY ST. SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Magnolia Boc I, Lp 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY ST. SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Peterson Adam K director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 1411 HARNEY STREET, SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Magnolia Capital Fund, Lp 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY ST., SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Lafoy William Scott officer: CEO of Link Media Holdings,LLC C/O LINK MEDIA OUTDOOR 200 MANSELL CT. EAST, BLDG 200 STE. 360 ROSWELL GA 30076
Royal Jeffrey C director 5420 NICHOLAS STREET OMAHA NE 68132
Kenan Frank H. Ii director C/O BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION., 292 NEWBURY ST. SUITE 333 BOSTON MA 02115

Boston Omaha Headlines

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