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Heritage Financial (Heritage Financial) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $40.47 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Heritage Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Heritage Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $40.47. The stock price of Heritage Financial is $18.09. Therefore, Heritage Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heritage Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HFWA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 0.84   Max: 1.1
Current: 0.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Heritage Financial was 1.10. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 0.84.

HFWA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
51.81% of 1216 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.435 vs HFWA: 0.45

Heritage Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Heritage Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Heritage Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Heritage Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.64 37.14 39.05 38.68 40.47

Heritage Financial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.68 39.63 39.39 39.22 40.47

Competitive Comparison of Heritage Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Heritage Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heritage Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Heritage Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heritage Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Heritage Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Heritage Financial's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $77.59.

Heritage Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*77.58608+853.261*0.8)/35.116
=40.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heritage Financial  (NAS:HFWA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Heritage Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.09/40.473162107092
=0.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heritage Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Heritage Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Heritage Financial (Heritage Financial) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
201 Fifth Avenue SW, Olympia, WA, USA, 98501
Heritage Financial Corp is a bank holding company. The company through its subsidiary provides commercial lending and deposit relationships with small businesses and their owners in its market areas and attracts deposits from the general public. It accepts various deposit products, such as noninterest demand accounts, money market accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. Besides, the Bank also makes real estate construction loans, land development loans, and consumer loans, and originates first mortgage loans on residential properties primarily located in its market area. Geographically, all the business activity functions through the region of the United States.
Executives
Frederick B Rivera director 201 5TH AVE SW, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Brian Charneski director P O BOX 1578, OLYMPIA WA 98507
Jeffrey S Lyon director 2542 N VISTA VIEW DRIVE, TACOMA WA 98406
Matthew T. Ray officer: EVP Chief Lending Officer 201 5TH AVE SW, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Eric Kayen Chan director 201 5TH AVE SW, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Amy E. Curran officer: EVP Director Commercial Lend 201 5TH AVE SW, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Kelli Ann Wilson officer: EVP Chief Banking Officer 201 5TH AVE SW, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Cindy M Huntley officer: SVP Director of Retail Banking 201 5TH AVE SW, OLYMPIA WA 98507
Brian L Vance director, officer: President and CEO 2204 57TH WAY NW, OLYMPIA WA 98502
John A Clees director 4342 SUNSET BEACH DRIVE NW, OLYMPIA WA 98502
Tony Chalfant officer: EVP Chief Credit Officer 201 5TH ST SW, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Gail B. Giacobbe director 201 5TH AVE SW, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Trevor D. Dryer director 201 5TH AVE SW, OLYMPIA WA 98501
Gragg E Miller director 450 SW BAYSHORE DRIVE, OAK HARBOR WA 98277
Jeffrey J Deuel officer: Executive Vice President 201 5TH AVENUE SW, OLYMPIA WA 90501