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Winmark Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $50.70 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-05-22), Winmark's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $50.70. The stock price of Winmark is $190.01. Therefore, Winmark's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Winmark's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

WINA' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.77   Med: 2.62   Max: 235.74
Current: 3.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Winmark was 235.74. The lowest was 0.77. And the median was 2.62.

WINA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
88.72% of 709 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.83 vs WINA: 3.75

Winmark Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Winmark's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Winmark Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -19.68 -2.37 23.19 33.75 51.22

Winmark Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.03 44.23 51.18 51.22 50.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Winmark's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Winmark Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Winmark's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Winmark's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Winmark Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Winmark's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $24.45.

Winmark's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar22)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.069452086404*24.44544+-65.768/0.8)/3.716
=50.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Winmark  (NAS:WINA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Winmark's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=190.01/50.69634736573
=3.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Winmark Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Winmark's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Winmark Business Description

Winmark logo
Industry
Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical NAICS : 533110 SIC : 5999
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
605 Highway 169 North, Suite 400, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55441
Winmark Corp is a franchisor of value-oriented retail store concepts that buy, sell and trade gently used the merchandise. The company's reportable segments include Franchising and Leasing. The franchising segment franchises value-oriented retail store that buys, sells, trade and consign merchandise as well as provide strategic consulting services relating to franchising. The leasing segment includes middle-market equipment leasing business and small-ticket financing business. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Franchising segment.
Executives
Mackenzie Kirk A director 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Wilson Mark L director 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Gaudette Renae M. officer: President of Franchising 605 HIGHWAY 169 N, SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Heffes Brett D director, officer: Chairman and CEO 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Ishaug Anthony D officer: Chief Financial Officer 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Barbetta Lawrence A director 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Reyelts Paul C director 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Grassle Jenele C director 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Goff Leah A officer: VP of Human Resources 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Olson Ronald G 10 percent owner GROWN BIZ INTERNATIONAL INC 4200 DAHLBERG DRIVE MINNEAPOLIS MN 55422-4837
Morgan John L director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 605 HIGHWAY 169 SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Murphy Steven officer: President of Franchising 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Zola Steven C director, officer: President, Winmark Capital 605 HWY 169 N SUITE 400 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55441
Bradshaw James Shel 10 percent owner 12600 HILL COUNTRY BLVD SUITE R-230 AUSTIN TX 78738
Bares Brian Timothy 10 percent owner 12600 HILL COUNTRY BLVD SUITE R-230 AUSTIN TX 78738

Winmark Headlines

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