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Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $127.96 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-16), Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $127.96. The stock price of Aflac is $63.97. Therefore, Aflac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AFL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.14   Med: 0.31   Max: 0.5
Current: 0.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aflac was 0.50. The lowest was 0.14. And the median was 0.31.

AFL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
59.65% of 399 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.57 vs AFL: 0.50

Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aflac Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 129.60 115.14 115.82 126.90 132.81

Aflac Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 134.39 134.55 132.81 128.90 127.96

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Life subindustry, Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aflac's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $5,605.12.

Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.918777632373*5605.12+26387*0.8)/643.243
=127.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aflac  (NYSE:AFL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aflac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=63.97/127.96199707228
=0.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aflac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aflac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aflac Business Description

Aflac logo
Industry
Address
1932 Wynnton Road, Columbus, GA, USA, 31999
Aflac Inc offers supplemental health insurance and life insurance in the two largest insurance markets in the world, the U.S. and Japan. In addition to its cancer policies, the company has broadened its product offerings to include accidents, disability, and long-term-care insurance. It markets its products through independent distributors, selling most of its policies directly to consumers at their places of work.
Executives
Collins Arthur Reginald director 3911 LORCOM LANE ARLINGTON VA 22207
Mori Nobuchika director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Kiser Georgette D. director 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW WASHINGTON DC 20004-2505
Beaver Steven Kent officer: SVP, CFO, Aflac US 1932 WYNNTON ROAD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Williams Richard Jr officer: Executive V.P. 1932 WYNNTON RD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Riggieri Albert officer: SVP, Corporate Actuary 1932 WYNNTON RD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Rohrer Katherine director 1932 WYNNTON RD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Koide Masatoshi officer: Deputy President, Aflac Japan 1932 WYNNTON RD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Broden Max officer: Senior Vice President 1932 WYNNTON RD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Lloyd Karole director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Fukuzawa Toshihiko director 1932 WYNNTON RD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Daniels James Todd officer: Sr. Vice President 1932 WYNNTON ROAD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Crawford Frederick John officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer AFLAC INCORPORATED COLUMBUS GA 31999
Moskowitz Joseph L director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD COLUMBUS GA 31999
Kenny Thomas J director FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC 901 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD 6TH FLOOR SAN MATEO CA 94404

Aflac Headlines

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