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Banco Comercial AV Villas (BOG:VILLAS) Beneish M-Score : -2.54 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Banco Comercial AV Villas Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Banco Comercial AV Villas's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:VILLAS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.54   Med: -2.55   Max: -2.08
Current: -2.54

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Banco Comercial AV Villas was -2.08. The lowest was -3.54. And the median was -2.55.


Banco Comercial AV Villas Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Banco Comercial AV Villas for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1+0.892 * 0.8446+0.115 * 0.8256
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2482+4.679 * 0.00755-0.327 * 0.6615
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was COP0 Mil.
Revenue was 206639 + 229548 + 220042 + 243584 = COP899,813 Mil.
Gross Profit was 206639 + 229548 + 220042 + 243584 = COP899,813 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP873,454 Mil.
Total Assets was COP18,913,323 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP468,664 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP79,334 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP287,636 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP87,481 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP1,416,478 Mil.
Net Income was -62631 + -53329 + -63586 + -62063 = COP-241,609 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = COP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -949678 + 210905 + 299967 + 54404 = COP-384,402 Mil.
Total Receivables was COP0 Mil.
Revenue was 234529 + 261254 + 273379 + 296248 = COP1,065,410 Mil.
Gross Profit was 234529 + 261254 + 273379 + 296248 = COP1,065,410 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP879,972 Mil.
Total Assets was COP19,648,281 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP514,957 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP69,905 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP272,840 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP89,281 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP2,272,713 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 899813) / (0 / 1065410)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1065410 / 1065410) / (899813 / 899813)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (873454 + 468664) / 18913323) / (1 - (879972 + 514957) / 19648281)
=0.929038 / 0.929005
=1

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=899813 / 1065410
=0.8446

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(69905 / (69905 + 514957)) / (79334 / (79334 + 468664))
=0.119524 / 0.144771
=0.8256

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(287636 / 899813) / (272840 / 1065410)
=0.319662 / 0.256089
=1.2482

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1416478 + 87481) / 18913323) / ((2272713 + 89281) / 19648281)
=0.079518 / 0.120214
=0.6615

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-241609 - 0 - -384402) / 18913323
=0.00755

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Banco Comercial AV Villas has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Banco Comercial AV Villas Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Banco Comercial AV Villas (BOG:VILLAS) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Carrera 13 No 27-47 Piso 24, Bogota, COL
Banco Comercial AV Villas SA provides personal and commercial banking services in Colombia. It offers current accounts, AFC accounts, savings accounts, mobile accounts, and CDTs; debit and credit cards; and credit warrants, and student loans.