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Banco Comercial AV Villas (BOG:VILLAS) Beneish M-Score : -2.01 (As of Jan. 19, 2025)


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What is Banco Comercial AV Villas Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.01 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Banco Comercial AV Villas's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BOG:VILLAS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.85   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.01
Current: -2.01

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Banco Comercial AV Villas was -2.01. The lowest was -3.85. And the median was -2.59.


Banco Comercial AV Villas Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Banco Comercial AV Villas for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.001+0.892 * 1.0533+0.115 * 0.8973
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0311+4.679 * 0.058154-0.327 * 0.4962
=-2.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was COP0 Mil.
Revenue was 278038 + 252476 + 239998 + 206639 = COP977,151 Mil.
Gross Profit was 278038 + 252476 + 239998 + 206639 = COP977,151 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP0 Mil.
Total Assets was COP18,713,825 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP460,708 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP82,420 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP301,758 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP932,551 Mil.
Net Income was 1330 + -27270 + -88884 + -62631 = COP-177,455 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = COP0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1273536 + -607976 + 1018538 + -402766 = COP-1,265,740 Mil.
Total Receivables was COP0 Mil.
Revenue was 229548 + 220042 + 243584 + 234529 = COP927,703 Mil.
Gross Profit was 229548 + 220042 + 243584 + 234529 = COP927,703 Mil.
Total Current Assets was COP0 Mil.
Total Assets was COP19,288,948 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was COP493,002 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was COP77,714 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was COP277,848 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was COP0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was COP1,937,130 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 977151) / (0 / 927703)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(927703 / 927703) / (977151 / 977151)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 460708) / 18713825) / (1 - (0 + 493002) / 19288948)
=0.975381 / 0.974441
=1.001

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=977151 / 927703
=1.0533

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(77714 / (77714 + 493002)) / (82420 / (82420 + 460708))
=0.136169 / 0.151751
=0.8973

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(301758 / 977151) / (277848 / 927703)
=0.308814 / 0.299501
=1.0311

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((932551 + 0) / 18713825) / ((1937130 + 0) / 19288948)
=0.049832 / 0.100427
=0.4962

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-177455 - 0 - -1265740) / 18713825
=0.058154

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Banco Comercial AV Villas has a M-score of -2.01 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Banco Comercial AV Villas Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Banco Comercial AV Villas Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Carrera 13 No 27-47 Piso 24, Bogota, COL
Banco Comercial AV Villas SA provides personal and commercial banking services in Colombia. It offers current accounts, AFC accounts, savings accounts, mobile accounts, and CDTs; debit and credit cards; and credit warrants, and student loans.