CAOLF (China Aviation Oil (Singapore)) Beneish M-Score: -2.74 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


CAOLF China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corp Ltd CAOLF
67 GF Score
Price $1.74
GF Value $0.98
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Beneish M-Score?

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) CAOLF 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates CAOLF with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.98. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) ranks better than 54.99% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CAOLF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: -2.29   Max: -1.4
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Aviation Oil (Singapore) was -1.40. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was -2.29.


China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Beneish M-Score Chart

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.54 -2.39 -2.22 -2.42 -2.74

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.22 0.00 -2.42 0.00 -2.74

CAOLF vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Beneish M-Score falls into.


CAOLF
67GF Score
China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corp Ltd CAOLF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Aviation Oil (Singapore) for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9803+0.528 * 0.6092+0.404 * 0.9184+0.892 * 1.0594+0.115 * 1.739
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0451+4.679 * -0.017615-0.327 * 1.0405
=-2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,077 Mil.
Revenue was $16,440 Mil.
Gross Profit was $73 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,961 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,268 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $18 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $19 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,172 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4 Mil.
Net Income was $111 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $150 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,037 Mil.
Revenue was $15,519 Mil.
Gross Profit was $42 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,698 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,992 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $17 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $17 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $991 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1076.578 / 16439.557) / (1036.678 / 15518.512)
=0.065487 / 0.066803
=0.9803

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(41.865 / 15518.512) / (72.818 / 16439.557)
=0.002698 / 0.004429
=0.6092

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1961.016 + 17.722) / 2267.617) / (1 - (1698.364 + 17.074) / 1991.699)
=0.127393 / 0.138706
=0.9184

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=16439.557 / 15518.512
=1.0594

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8.878 / (8.878 + 17.074)) / (4.34 / (4.34 + 17.722))
=0.342093 / 0.196718
=1.739

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(19.029 / 16439.557) / (17.196 / 15518.512)
=0.001158 / 0.001108
=1.0451

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3.879 + 1171.921) / 2267.617) / ((1.678 + 990.872) / 1991.699)
=0.518518 / 0.498343
=1.0405

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(110.526 - 0 - 150.471) / 2267.617
=-0.017615

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 mean?
China Aviation Oil (Singapore) (CAOLF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.74 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Aviation Oil (Singapore) and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) ranks #370 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 45%.
Is China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Beneish M-Score too high?
China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. Based on the distribution chart, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) ranks #370 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) has a GF Score™ of 67/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Beneish M-Score compare to VLO and MPC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) ranks #370 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts China Aviation Oil (Singapore) in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on China Aviation Oil (Singapore) and its competitors. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Aviation Oil (Singapore) stock overvalued right now?
China Aviation Oil (Singapore) (CAOLF) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.74. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.98, compared to a current price of $1.74 — trading 77.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.74. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Aviation Oil (Singapore) (CAOLF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.74 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Aviation Oil (Singapore) (CAOLF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.74 is trading 77.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.98.

Key valuation signals for CAOLF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.74
  • GF Value™: $0.98 vs. price of $1.74 (77.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the CAOLF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges G92:SingaporeVZ8:Germany
Address 8 Temasek Boulevard, No. 31-02 Suntec Tower Three, Singapore, SGP, 038988
China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corp Ltd provides transportation fuels. With the core business involving the supply and trading of jet fuel across China and internationally, covering Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, and the Middle East, the company also trades other oil products, which include fuel oil, gas oil, aviation gas, and crude oil in the Asia-Pacific region. The company operates in three segments: i) Middle Distillates: It engages in supplying and trading jet fuel and gas oil. ii) Other Oil Products: It involves the supply and trading of fuel oil, crude oil, and gasoline, and iii) Investments in Oil-Related Assets: Investments in oil-related assets through the Group's holdings in associates. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Middle distillates segment.
67GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.74
Price
$0.98
GF Value