CAOLF (China Aviation Oil (Singapore)) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $2.01 (As of Jul. 14, 2026) — 196% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CAOLF China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corp Ltd CAOLF
73 GF Score
Price $1.74
GF Value $1.04
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Peter Lynch Fair Value?

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) CAOLF 73 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.01 as of Jul. 14, 2026, which is 196% above its 10-year median of 0.68. GuruFocus rates CAOLF with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.04. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 264 Oil & Gas companies, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) ranks better than 68.18% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s PEG is 1. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 15.59. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was $0.13. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $2.01.

As of today (2026-07-14), China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s share price is $1.74. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Peter Lynch fair value is $2.01. Therefore, China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.87.


The historical rank and industry rank for China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

CAOLF' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.48   Med: 0.68   Max: 1.49
Current: 0.7


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of China Aviation Oil (Singapore) was 1.49. The lowest was 0.48. And the median was 0.68.


CAOLF's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
68.18% of 264 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 1.035 vs CAOLF: 0.70

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


China Aviation Oil (Singapore)  (OTCPK:CAOLF) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 15.59 instead of 15 in this case.

China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=1.74/2.01
=0.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.71

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.71

CAOLF vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


CAOLF
73GF Score
China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corp Ltd CAOLF
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 15.59 *0.129
=2.01

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was $0.13.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.01 mean?
China Aviation Oil (Singapore) (CAOLF) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.01 as of Jul. 14, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on China Aviation Oil (Singapore) and its competitors. This is 196% above median its historical median of 0.68. Over the past decade, China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.48 to 1.49. According to the industry distribution chart, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) ranks #84 out of 264 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 31.8%.
Is China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.01 is 196% above median its 10-year median of 0.68. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.48 to a high of 1.49. The Oil & Gas industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.04. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s value of $2.01 is 94.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) ranks #84 out of 264 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) has a GF Score™ of 73/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to VLO and MPC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) ranks #84 out of 264 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This puts China Aviation Oil (Singapore) in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.04. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s value of $2.01 is 94.2% above this benchmark. Historically, China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.48 to 1.49 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.68 vs. the industry median of 1.04, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Oil & Gas companies is 1.04, based on 264 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.01 is 94.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on China Aviation Oil (Singapore) and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.04 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.01, which is 196% above median its own 10-year median of 0.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Aviation Oil (Singapore) stock overvalued right now?
China Aviation Oil (Singapore) (CAOLF) has a current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.01. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.04, compared to a current price of $1.74 — trading 67.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.01, which is 196% above median its 10-year median of 0.68 and 94.2% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 1.04. China Aviation Oil (Singapore)'s overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Aviation Oil (Singapore) (CAOLF), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.01 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is China Aviation Oil (Singapore) (CAOLF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, China Aviation Oil (Singapore) stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.74 is trading 67.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.04.

Key valuation signals for CAOLF:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $2.01 (196% above median its 10-year median of 0.68)
  • GF Value™: $1.04 vs. price of $1.74 (67.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 94.2% above the Oil & Gas median (#84 of 264)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CAOLF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges G92:SingaporeVZ8:Germany
Address 8 Temasek Boulevard, No. 31-02 Suntec Tower Three, Singapore, SGP, 038988
China Aviation Oil (Singapore) Corp Ltd provides transportation fuels. With the core business involving the supply and trading of jet fuel across China and internationally, covering Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, and the Middle East, the company also trades other oil products, which include fuel oil, gas oil, aviation gas, and crude oil in the Asia-Pacific region. The company operates in three segments: i) Middle Distillates: It engages in supplying and trading jet fuel and gas oil. ii) Other Oil Products: It involves the supply and trading of fuel oil, crude oil, and gasoline, and iii) Investments in Oil-Related Assets: Investments in oil-related assets through the Group's holdings in associates. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Middle distillates segment.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CAOLF

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.74
Price
$1.04
GF Value