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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Warning Sign:
Beneish M-Score -1.39 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.
The historical rank and industry rank for FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of FTAI Aviation was 1.19. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.29.
The historical data trend for FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
FTAI Aviation Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.35 | -0.94 | -2.44 | -1.48 | -1.50 |
FTAI Aviation Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -1.37 | -1.50 | -1.64 | -1.83 | -1.39 |
For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of FTAI Aviation for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.4219 | + | 0.528 * 1.0252 | + | 0.404 * 1.2507 | + | 0.892 * 1.3677 | + | 0.115 * 0.9144 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.8189 | + | 4.679 * 0.052109 | - | 0.327 * 1.0074 | |||||||
= | -1.39 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Sep24) TTM: | Last Year (Sep23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $383 Mil. Revenue was 465.794 + 443.594 + 326.694 + 312.737 = $1,549 Mil. Gross Profit was 189.523 + 181.046 + 133.97 + 131.036 = $636 Mil. Total Current Assets was $793 Mil. Total Assets was $3,739 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,204 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $251 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $14 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $197 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,218 Mil. Net Income was 86.482 + -219.87 + 39.622 + 118.36 = $25 Mil. Non Operating Income was -6.87 + -23.131 + -7.174 + 0.876 = $-36 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 41.483 + -187.291 + -0.345 + 12.216 = $-134 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $197 Mil. Revenue was 291.096 + 274.345 + 292.718 + 274.291 = $1,132 Mil. Gross Profit was 130.43 + 131.299 + 106.122 + 108.589 = $476 Mil. Total Current Assets was $263 Mil. Total Assets was $2,634 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,953 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $201 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $13 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $109 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,279 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (383.338 / 1548.819) | / | (197.125 / 1132.45) | |
= | 0.247503 | / | 0.174069 | |
= | 1.4219 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (476.44 / 1132.45) | / | (635.575 / 1548.819) | |
= | 0.420716 | / | 0.410361 | |
= | 1.0252 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (793.388 + 2203.642) / 3738.91) | / | (1 - (263.404 + 1952.552) / 2633.786) | |
= | 0.198421 | / | 0.158642 | |
= | 1.2507 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 1548.819 | / | 1132.45 | |
= | 1.3677 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (201.36 / (201.36 + 1952.552)) | / | (250.941 / (250.941 + 2203.642)) | |
= | 0.093486 | / | 0.102234 | |
= | 0.9144 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (14.127 / 1548.819) | / | (12.613 / 1132.45) | |
= | 0.009121 | / | 0.011138 | |
= | 0.8189 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((3218.343 + 196.66) / 3738.91) | / | ((2279.33 + 108.579) / 2633.786) | |
= | 0.913369 | / | 0.906645 | |
= | 1.0074 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (24.594 - -36.299 | - | -133.937) | / | 3738.91 | |
= | 0.052109 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
FTAI Aviation has a M-score of -1.39 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Paul R Goodwin | director | CSX CORPORATION, 901 E. CARY STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219 |
Adams Joseph P. Jr. | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
Ray M Robinson | director | 1170 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 2300, ATLANTA GA 30309 |
Martin Tuchman | director | 633 PROSPECT AVE, PRINCETON NJ 08540 |
Eun Nam | officer: Chief Accounting Officer | 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
Washington State Investment Board | 10 percent owner | 2100 EVERGREEN PARK DR SW, PO BOX 40916, OLYMPIA WA 98504-0916 |
Scott Christopher | officer: Chief Accounting Officer | 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
Kenneth J. Nicholson | director | 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
A Andrew Levison | director | 124 WEST PUTNAM AVE, GREENWICH CT 06830 |
Judith A Hannaway | director | C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
Jonathan Atkeson | officer: CFO and COO | 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
Wesley R Edens | director, 10 percent owner | 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
Fortress Worldwide Transportation & Infrastructure Gp Llc | 10 percent owner | 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
Fortress Worldwide Transportation & Infrastructure Investors Lp | 10 percent owner | 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105 |
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