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FTAI (FTAI Aviation) Beneish M-Score : -1.39 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is FTAI Aviation Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.39 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FTAI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.26   Med: -2.29   Max: 1.19
Current: -1.39

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of FTAI Aviation was 1.19. The lowest was -3.26. And the median was -2.29.


FTAI Aviation Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FTAI Aviation Beneish M-Score Chart

FTAI Aviation Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.35 -0.94 -2.44 -1.48 -1.50

FTAI Aviation Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.37 -1.50 -1.64 -1.83 -1.39

Competitive Comparison of FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FTAI Aviation's Beneish M-Score falls into.



FTAI Aviation Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of FTAI Aviation for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4219+0.528 * 1.0252+0.404 * 1.2507+0.892 * 1.3677+0.115 * 0.9144
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8189+4.679 * 0.052109-0.327 * 1.0074
=-1.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $383 Mil.
Revenue was 465.794 + 443.594 + 326.694 + 312.737 = $1,549 Mil.
Gross Profit was 189.523 + 181.046 + 133.97 + 131.036 = $636 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $793 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,739 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,204 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $251 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $14 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $197 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,218 Mil.
Net Income was 86.482 + -219.87 + 39.622 + 118.36 = $25 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -6.87 + -23.131 + -7.174 + 0.876 = $-36 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 41.483 + -187.291 + -0.345 + 12.216 = $-134 Mil.
Total Receivables was $197 Mil.
Revenue was 291.096 + 274.345 + 292.718 + 274.291 = $1,132 Mil.
Gross Profit was 130.43 + 131.299 + 106.122 + 108.589 = $476 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $263 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,634 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,953 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $201 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $13 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $109 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,279 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(383.338 / 1548.819) / (197.125 / 1132.45)
=0.247503 / 0.174069
=1.4219

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(476.44 / 1132.45) / (635.575 / 1548.819)
=0.420716 / 0.410361
=1.0252

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (793.388 + 2203.642) / 3738.91) / (1 - (263.404 + 1952.552) / 2633.786)
=0.198421 / 0.158642
=1.2507

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1548.819 / 1132.45
=1.3677

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(201.36 / (201.36 + 1952.552)) / (250.941 / (250.941 + 2203.642))
=0.093486 / 0.102234
=0.9144

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14.127 / 1548.819) / (12.613 / 1132.45)
=0.009121 / 0.011138
=0.8189

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3218.343 + 196.66) / 3738.91) / ((2279.33 + 108.579) / 2633.786)
=0.913369 / 0.906645
=1.0074

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(24.594 - -36.299 - -133.937) / 3738.91
=0.052109

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

FTAI Aviation has a M-score of -1.39 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


FTAI Aviation Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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FTAI Aviation Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1345 Avenue of the Americas, 45th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10105
FTAI Aviation Ltd is a aerospace company .It owns and maintains commercial jet engines with a focus on CFM56 engines. FTAI owns and leases jet aircraft which often facilitates the acquisition of engines at attractive prices. It invests in aviation assets and aerospace products that generate strong and stable cash flows with the potential for earnings growth and asset appreciation.
Executives
Paul R Goodwin director CSX CORPORATION, 901 E. CARY STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Adams Joseph P. Jr. director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Ray M Robinson director 1170 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 2300, ATLANTA GA 30309
Martin Tuchman director 633 PROSPECT AVE, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Eun Nam officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Washington State Investment Board 10 percent owner 2100 EVERGREEN PARK DR SW, PO BOX 40916, OLYMPIA WA 98504-0916
Scott Christopher officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Kenneth J. Nicholson director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
A Andrew Levison director 124 WEST PUTNAM AVE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Judith A Hannaway director C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Jonathan Atkeson officer: CFO and COO 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Wesley R Edens director, 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Worldwide Transportation & Infrastructure Gp Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Worldwide Transportation & Infrastructure Investors Lp 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105