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China First Capital Group (HKSE:01269) Beneish M-Score : -2.82 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is China First Capital Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China First Capital Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01269' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.84   Med: -2.73   Max: -0.9
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China First Capital Group was -0.90. The lowest was -4.84. And the median was -2.73.


China First Capital Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China First Capital Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China First Capital Group Beneish M-Score Chart

China First Capital Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.84 -2.86 -4.15 -3.59 -2.82

China First Capital Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -3.59 - -2.82 -

Competitive Comparison of China First Capital Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, China First Capital Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China First Capital Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China First Capital Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China First Capital Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China First Capital Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China First Capital Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7535+0.528 * 0.77+0.404 * 0.7806+0.892 * 1.4968+0.115 * 1.077
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7385+4.679 * -0.077525-0.327 * 1.1
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$1,209 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,006 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$439 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,145 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$3,071 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$668 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$70 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$237 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$4,124 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$426 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-380 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-142 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$1,072 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,340 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$226 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,062 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$3,072 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$679 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$77 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$215 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$3,504 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$635 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1208.63 / 2005.684) / (1071.593 / 1339.959)
=0.602602 / 0.799721
=0.7535

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(225.699 / 1339.959) / (438.742 / 2005.684)
=0.168437 / 0.218749
=0.77

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2144.543 + 667.514) / 3070.574) / (1 - (2061.864 + 679.057) / 3072.303)
=0.084192 / 0.107861
=0.7806

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2005.684 / 1339.959
=1.4968

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(77.431 / (77.431 + 679.057)) / (70.1 / (70.1 + 667.514))
=0.102356 / 0.095036
=1.077

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(237.149 / 2005.684) / (214.542 / 1339.959)
=0.118238 / 0.160111
=0.7385

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((426.272 + 4123.924) / 3070.574) / ((634.808 + 3504.112) / 3072.303)
=1.481871 / 1.347172
=1.1

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-379.729 - 0 - -141.682) / 3070.574
=-0.077525

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China First Capital Group has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China First Capital Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China First Capital Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
188 Connaught Road West, Unit 913C, 9th Floor, Hong Kong Plaza, Hong Kong, HKG
China First Capital Group Ltd is an investment holding company. The company along with its holding sells automobile Shock absorber, and provides financial and advisory services. The company is also involved in the provision of management and consultancy services to educational institutions. The group has three reportable segments: Automotive parts business; Education management and consultation business; and Financial services business. The company earns a majority of its revenue by selling its automotive parts business. The group principally operates in the PRC.
Executives
Guo Ce 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Principal Global Investment Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Golden Cloud Co., Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hongkong Chuang Yue Co., Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Liu Kun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shenmane.d Co., Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sea Wilson 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wang Lily 2202 Interest of your spouse
Wealth Max Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhong Guo Hua Rong Zi Chan Guan Li Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hua Rong Hua Qiao Zi Chan Guan Li Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sze Ka Wo 2501 Other
Zhongyuan Bank Co., Ltd. 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Bank Of Communications Co., Ltd 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Champion Sense Global Limited 2106 Person having a security interest in shares

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