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China First Capital Group (HKSE:01269) Altman Z-Score : -1.16 (As of Apr. 02, 2025)


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What is China First Capital Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -1.16 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

China First Capital Group has a Altman Z-Score of -1.16, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China First Capital Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01269' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.27   Med: 0.45   Max: 1.87
Current: -1.16

During the past 13 years, China First Capital Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.87. The lowest was -1.27. And the median was 0.45.


China First Capital Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China First Capital Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China First Capital Group Altman Z-Score Chart

China First Capital Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.87 -0.09 -1.27 -1.07 -1.16

China First Capital Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.07 - -1.16 -

Competitive Comparison of China First Capital Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Auto Parts subindustry, China First Capital Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China First Capital Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China First Capital Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China First Capital Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.


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China First Capital Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

China First Capital Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.6446+1.4*-0.576+3.3*-0.0731+0.6*0.0132+1.0*0.6532
=-1.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$3,071 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,145 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$4,124 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-1,769 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$-401 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-176 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,006 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$61 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$4,621 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2144.543 - 4123.924)/3070.574
=-0.6446

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1768.616/3070.574
=-0.576

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-400.572 - -176.175)/3070.574
=-0.0731

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=60.984/4621.35
=0.0132

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2005.684/3070.574
=0.6532

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

China First Capital Group has a Altman Z-Score of -1.16 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


China First Capital Group  (HKSE:01269) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China First Capital Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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China First Capital Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
188 Connaught Road West, Unit 913C, 9th Floor, Hong Kong Plaza, Hong Kong, HKG
China First Capital Group Ltd is an investment holding company. The company along with its holding sells automobile Shock absorber, and provides financial and advisory services. The company is also involved in the provision of management and consultancy services to educational institutions. The group has three reportable segments: Automotive parts business; Education management and consultation business; and Financial services business. The company earns a majority of its revenue by selling its automotive parts business. The group principally operates in the PRC.
Executives
Guo Ce 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Principal Global Investment Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Golden Cloud Co., Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hongkong Chuang Yue Co., Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Liu Kun 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shenmane.d Co., Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sea Wilson 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wang Lily 2202 Interest of your spouse
Wealth Max Holdings Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhong Guo Hua Rong Zi Chan Guan Li Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hua Rong Hua Qiao Zi Chan Guan Li Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sze Ka Wo 2501 Other
Zhongyuan Bank Co., Ltd. 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Bank Of Communications Co., Ltd 2106 Person having a security interest in shares
Champion Sense Global Limited 2106 Person having a security interest in shares

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