CTBC Financial Holding Co (TPE:2891) Beneish M-Score: -2.24 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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TPE:2891 CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd TPE:2891
70 GF Score
Price NT$65.00
GF Value NT$55.16
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is CTBC Financial Holding Co Beneish M-Score?

CTBC Financial Holding Co TPE:2891 -2.26% 70 Beneish M-Score is -2.24 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TPE:2891 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of NT$55.16 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,399 Banks companies, CTBC Financial Holding Co ranks worse than 76.2% on this metric.

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CTBC Financial Holding Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:2891' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.5   Max: -1.95
Current: -2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CTBC Financial Holding Co was -1.95. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.50.

TPE:2891
70GF Score
CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd TPE:2891
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CTBC Financial Holding Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CTBC Financial Holding Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9998+0.892 * 1.3428+0.115 * 0.9745
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8236+4.679 * 0.007921-0.327 * 1.3914
=-2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$0 Mil.
Revenue was 80819.5 + 77727.814 + 36360.716 + 65767.621 = NT$260,676 Mil.
Gross Profit was 80819.5 + 77727.814 + 36360.716 + 65767.621 = NT$260,676 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$0 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$9,331,087 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$71,965 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$10,010 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$35,931 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$331,235 Mil.
Net Income was 19859.901 + 24918.597 + 15932.436 + 19908.299 = NT$80,619 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -73850.196 + -16162.001 + 199396.867 + -102675.283 = NT$6,709 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$0 Mil.
Revenue was 47239.404 + 49773.835 + 43655.429 + 53457.967 = NT$194,127 Mil.
Gross Profit was 47239.404 + 49773.835 + 43655.429 + 53457.967 = NT$194,127 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$0 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$8,839,610 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$66,538 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$8,987 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$32,487 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$225,519 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 260675.651) / (0 / 194126.635)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(194126.635 / 194126.635) / (260675.651 / 260675.651)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 71965.046) / 9331086.67) / (1 - (0 + 66537.978) / 8839609.949)
=0.992288 / 0.992473
=0.9998

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=260675.651 / 194126.635
=1.3428

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8986.63 / (8986.63 + 66537.978)) / (10009.704 / (10009.704 + 71965.046))
=0.118989 / 0.122107
=0.9745

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(35931.102 / 260675.651) / (32487.473 / 194126.635)
=0.137838 / 0.167352
=0.8236

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((331234.874 + 0) / 9331086.67) / ((225519.295 + 0) / 8839609.949)
=0.035498 / 0.025512
=1.3914

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(80619.233 - 0 - 6709.387) / 9331086.67
=0.007921

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CTBC Financial Holding Co has a M-score of -2.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.24 mean?
CTBC Financial Holding Co (TPE:2891) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.24 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CTBC Financial Holding Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CTBC Financial Holding Co ranks #1066 out of 1399 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 76.2%.
Is CTBC Financial Holding Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
CTBC Financial Holding Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. Based on the distribution chart, CTBC Financial Holding Co ranks #1066 out of 1399 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, CTBC Financial Holding Co has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CTBC Financial Holding Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, CTBC Financial Holding Co ranks #1066 out of 1399 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places CTBC Financial Holding Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Banks company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Banks industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CTBC Financial Holding Co and its competitors. CTBC Financial Holding Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CTBC Financial Holding Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CTBC Financial Holding Co (TPE:2891) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$55.16, compared to a current price of NT$65.00 — trading 17.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. CTBC Financial Holding Co's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CTBC Financial Holding Co (TPE:2891), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.24 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CTBC Financial Holding Co (TPE:2891) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CTBC Financial Holding Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of NT$65.00 is trading 17.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of NT$55.16. GuruFocus considers CTBC Financial Holding Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TPE:2891:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.24
  • GF Value™: NT$55.16 vs. price of NT$65.00 (17.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:2891 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CTBC Financial Holding Co Business Description

Address Jingmao 2nd Road, No. 168, 27th and 29th Floor, Nangang District, Taipei, TWN, 115
CTBC Financial Holding Co Ltd is a diversified financial services holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, it operates in the following segments: Life insurance, which generates maximum revenue, Institutional banking, Retail banking, and Others. The majority of the Group's revenue is derived from its Institutional and Retail banking businesses, which include commercial banking and capital market activities, financing activities, deposit products, wealth management, credit cards, secured loans, and unsecured individual loans, etc., catering to individual and institutional clients. Geographically, the Group generates maximum revenue from its business in Taiwan, followed by Asia (excluding Taiwan), and North America.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TPE:2891

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NT$65.00
Price
NT$55.16
GF Value