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VAC (Marriott Vacations Worldwide) Beneish M-Score : -2.40 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Marriott Vacations Worldwide Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.4 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VAC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.66   Med: -2.37   Max: 2.36
Current: -2.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Marriott Vacations Worldwide was 2.36. The lowest was -2.66. And the median was -2.37.


Marriott Vacations Worldwide Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Beneish M-Score Chart

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.36 -2.58 -2.53 -2.31

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -2.31 -2.35 -2.40 -2.40

Competitive Comparison of Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Beneish M-Score

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Marriott Vacations Worldwide Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Marriott Vacations Worldwide for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0287+0.528 * 1.0306+0.404 * 0.9842+0.892 * 1.0239+0.115 * 0.8688
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0422+4.679 * 0.009446-0.327 * 1.0092
=-2.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,727 Mil.
Revenue was 1305 + 1140 + 1195 + 1194 = $4,834 Mil.
Gross Profit was 477 + 430 + 466 + 467 = $1,840 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,043 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,740 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,165 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $145 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,145 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,180 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,286 Mil.
Net Income was 84 + 37 + 47 + 35 = $203 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 7 + -24 + -21 + -39 = $-77 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 72 + 30 + 3 + 83 = $188 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,589 Mil.
Revenue was 1186 + 1178 + 1169 + 1188 = $4,721 Mil.
Gross Profit was 399 + 481 + 471 + 501 = $1,852 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,734 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,453 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,250 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $133 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,073 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,161 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,057 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2727 / 4834) / (2589 / 4721)
=0.564129 / 0.548401
=1.0287

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1852 / 4721) / (1840 / 4834)
=0.39229 / 0.380637
=1.0306

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4043 + 1165) / 9740) / (1 - (3734 + 1250) / 9453)
=0.465298 / 0.47276
=0.9842

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4834 / 4721
=1.0239

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(133 / (133 + 1250)) / (145 / (145 + 1165))
=0.096168 / 0.110687
=0.8688

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1145 / 4834) / (1073 / 4721)
=0.236864 / 0.227282
=1.0422

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5286 + 1180) / 9740) / ((5057 + 1161) / 9453)
=0.66386 / 0.657781
=1.0092

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(203 - -77 - 188) / 9740
=0.009446

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide has a M-score of -2.40 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Marriott Vacations Worldwide Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Marriott Vacations Worldwide Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7812 Palm Parkway, Orlando, FL, USA, 32836
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp functions in the United States leisure industry. It owns and manages a cluster of resorts and accommodation facilities under trademarks like Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residencies, and The Ritz-Carlton Destination Club predominantly in the United States. Some of its properties are also spread across Europe and Asia Pacific. Marriott's majority revenue components include the sale of vacation ownership products such as luxurious vacation packages. In addition, it offers purchase money financing to the end users of its core services. The company operates in two reportable segments: Vacation Ownership and Exchange & Third-Party Management. The majority of revenue is derived from the Vacation Ownership segment.
Executives
Lori M Gustafson officer: EVP & Chief Brand & Digital 6649 WESTWOOD BOULEVARD, ORLANDO FL 32821
Jason P Marino officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Anthony E Terry officer: EVP, CFO 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Geller John E Jr officer: Exec. VP and CFO 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Raman Bukkapatnam officer: EVP & CIO 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Dwight D. Smith officer: Sr. VP & CIO 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Stephanie Sobeck Butera officer: EVP & COO of HVO 9002 SAN MARCO CT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Michael E. Yonker officer: Sr. VP & Chief HR Officer 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Lizabeth Kane-hanan officer: Exec. VP & Chief Growth & Inv. 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Kathleen A. Pighini officer: SVP and CAO 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Jonice Gray Tucker director 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
R. Lee Cunningham officer: Exec VP & COO-N.Am & Carribean 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Melquiades R. Martinez director 450 SOUTH ORANGE AVENUE, SUITE 250, ORLANDO FL 32801-3443
Hunter James H. Iv officer: Exec. VP & General Counsel 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Brian E. Miller officer: ExecVP-Sales,Marketing&ServOp 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821