Hippo Holdings (Hippo Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Hippo Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Hippo Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Hippo Holdings (Hippo Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » Hippo Holdings Inc (NYSE:HIPO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

150 Forest Avenue, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 94301

Website

https://www.hippo.com

Hippo Holdings Inc is a home insurance group that created a new standard of care and protection for homeowners. It provides insurance for computers, home offices, electronics, appliances, water backup, and service line coverage, among others.

Executives

John Drake Nichols	director	C/O HIPPO HOLDINGS INC., 150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Mark Schaaf	director	150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Anirudh Badia	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Yuval Harry	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 95624
Christopher Donahue	officer: General Manager, MGA & CUO	150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Noah Knauf	director	C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Sam Landman	director	C/O HIPPO HOLDINGS INC., 150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Richard Mccathron	director, officer: President	8240 N. MOPAC EXPRESSWAY, #215, AUSTIN TX 78759
Assaf Wand	director, officer: See Remarks	C/O HIPPO HOLDINGS INC., 150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Sandra S Wijnberg	director	100 E. PRATT STREET, BA-1320, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Stewart Ellis	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O HIPPO HOLDINGS INC., 150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Eric Feder	director	C/O FIFTH WALL ACQUISITION CORP. II, 6060 CENTER DRIVE, 10TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90045
Ran Harpaz	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O HIPPO HOLDINGS INC., 150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Aviad Pinkovezky	officer: Chief Product Officer	C/O HIPPO HOLDINGS INC., 150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Amy Errett	director	C/O HIPPO HOLDINGS INC., 150 FOREST AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301