SCYT (Security Bancorp) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 9.35% (As of Dec. 2025) — 52% Below Median

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SCYT Security Bancorp Inc SCYT
55 GF Score
Price $120.00
GF Value $90.12
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Security Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Security Bancorp SCYT 55 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.35% as of Dec. 2025, which is 52% below its 10-year median of 19.58. GuruFocus rates SCYT with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of $90.12 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,416 Banks companies, Security Bancorp ranks better than 54.94% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Security Bancorp's forward rate of return for was 9.35%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SCYT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.56   Med: 19.58   Max: 27.14
Current: 16.7

During the past 11 years, Security Bancorp's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.14. The lowest was 15.56. And the median was 19.58.

SCYT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
54.94% of 1416 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 15.53 vs SCYT: 16.70

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Security Bancorp  (OTCPK:SCYT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Security Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Security Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Security Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Security Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec00 Dec01 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.42 28.18 16.44 16.17 17.45

Security Bancorp Quarterly Data
Dec99 Jun00 Dec00 Jun01 Dec01 Jun02 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.22 6.21 6.76 9.35 11.23

SCYT vs ESBS, SSBP, HCBC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Security Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


SCYT
55GF Score
Security Bancorp Inc SCYT
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Security Bancorp Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=0/114+0
=0.00 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.35% mean?
Security Bancorp (SCYT) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.35% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Security Bancorp and its competitors. This is 52% below median its historical median of 19.58. Over the past decade, Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 15.56 to 27.14. According to the industry distribution chart, Security Bancorp ranks #638 out of 1416 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 45.1%.
Is Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Security Bancorp's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.35% is 52% below median its 10-year median of 19.58. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 15.56 to a high of 27.14. The Banks industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.53. Security Bancorp's value of 9.35% is 39.8% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Security Bancorp ranks #638 out of 1416 companies in the Banks industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Security Bancorp has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Security Bancorp's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to ESBS and SSBP?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Security Bancorp ranks #638 out of 1416 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Security Bancorp in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.53. Security Bancorp's value of 9.35% is 39.8% below this benchmark. Historically, Security Bancorp's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 15.56 to 27.14 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 19.58 vs. the industry median of 15.53, Security Bancorp has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Banks company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Banks companies is 15.53, based on 1,416 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Security Bancorp's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 9.35% is 39.8% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Security Bancorp and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.53 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Security Bancorp's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.35%, which is 52% below median its own 10-year median of 19.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Security Bancorp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Security Bancorp (SCYT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $90.12, compared to a current price of $120.00 — trading 33.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.35%, which is 52% below median its 10-year median of 19.58 and 39.8% below the Banks industry median of 15.53. Security Bancorp's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Security Bancorp (SCYT), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 9.35% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Security Bancorp (SCYT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Security Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $120.00 is trading 33.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $90.12. GuruFocus considers Security Bancorp to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SCYT:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 9.35% (52% below median its 10-year median of 19.58)
  • GF Value™: $90.12 vs. price of $120.00 (33.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 39.8% below the Banks median (#638 of 1416)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SCYT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Security Bancorp Business Description

Address 306 West Main Street, Mcminnville, TN, USA, 37110
Security Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company. The company is a community-oriented financial institution organized to address the needs of McMinnville and Warren County. It is engaged in attracting deposits from the general public and using those funds to originate one to four-family mortgage loans. Its services include mobile banking, online banking, personal checking, business checking, savings accounts, CD's, and telephone banking.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SCYT

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$120.00
Price
$90.12
GF Value