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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Warning Sign:
Altman Z-score of -21.25 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.
Swvl Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -21.25, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Swvl Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
SWVL'
s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -28.43 Med: -19.76 Max: -13.49
Current: -21.25
During the past 8 years, Swvl Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was -13.49. The lowest was -28.43. And the median was -19.76.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Swvl Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms
Swvl Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Swvl Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
SWVL vs RVSN, PNYG, UNP: Altman Z-Score Comparison
For the Railroads subindustry, Swvl Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Swvl Holdings Altman Z-Score vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Swvl Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Swvl Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Swvl Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
-0.1523
+
1.4
*
-16.892
+
3.3
*
0.0824
+
0.6
*
1.8359
+
1.0
*
1.2059
=
-21.25
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Swvl Holdings (SWVL) has a Altman Z-Score of -21.25 as of Aug. 29, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Swvl Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Swvl Holdings ranks #993 out of 998 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 99.5%.
Is Swvl Holdings' Altman Z-Score too high?
Swvl Holdings' current Altman Z-Score is -21.25. Based on the distribution chart, Swvl Holdings ranks #993 out of 998 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Swvl Holdings has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Swvl Holdings' Altman Z-Score compare to RVSN and PNYG?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Swvl Holdings ranks #993 out of 998 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Swvl Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.26. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Transportation company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Transportation companies is 2.26, based on 998 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Swvl Holdings and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.26 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Swvl Holdings's current Altman Z-Score is -21.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Swvl Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Swvl Holdings (SWVL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.17, compared to a current price of $3.15 — trading 0.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is -21.25. Swvl Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Swvl Holdings (SWVL), the current Altman Z-Score is -21.25 as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Swvl Holdings (SWVL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Swvl Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $3.15 is trading 0.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $3.17.
GuruFocus considers Swvl Holdings to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for SWVL:
Altman Z-Score: -21.25
GF Value™: $3.17 vs. price of $3.15 (0.6% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SWVL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Swvl Holdings Corp is a technology-driven mobility company providing mass transit solutions. It currently has two offerings: business-to-consumer (B2C) and B2B (marketed as Swvl Business). The company's B2C business utilizes its platform to provide riders with a network of minibuses and other vehicles that operate on fixed and semi-fixed routes throughout and between different cities. Riders can book available seats on vehicles to commute within a city. The Swvl Business caters to corporate customers (as well as schools and municipalities), providing them with transportation solutions for their employees and students. This business also offers transportation management software to clients who operate their own fleet. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from Egypt.
54GF Score
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