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Gouverneur Bancorp (Gouverneur Bancorp) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $43.75 (As of Dec23)


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What is Gouverneur Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Gouverneur Bancorp's earnings power value is $43.75. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 77.6

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Gouverneur Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gouverneur Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gouverneur Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Gouverneur Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Sep00 Sep01 Sep02 Sep03 Sep04 Sep05 Sep06 Sep07 Sep22 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -16.66 -16.01 -14.44 29.47 18.81

Gouverneur Bancorp Quarterly Data
Mar05 Jun05 Sep05 Dec05 Mar06 Jun06 Sep06 Dec06 Mar07 Jun07 Sep07 Dec07 Mar08 Jun08 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.47 -2.57 18.79 18.81 43.75

Competitive Comparison of Gouverneur Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Gouverneur Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gouverneur Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Gouverneur Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gouverneur Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Gouverneur Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Gouverneur Bancorp's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 5.81
DDA 0.34
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 0.56
Tax Rate % 7.61
Maintenance Capex 0.47
Cash and Cash Equivalents 57.97
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 7.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1.05

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $5.81 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.56,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 5.81 * 0.00% +0.56 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 7.61%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 7.61% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.34 * 0.5 * 7.61% = $0.01290234 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.01290234 = $0.01290234 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Gouverneur Bancorp's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.47 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Gouverneur Bancorp's current cash and cash equivalent = $57.97 Mil.
Gouverneur Bancorp's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 7.00 + 0.00 = $7 Mil.
Gouverneur Bancorp's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1.05 Mil.

Gouverneur Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.01290234 - 0.47)/ 9%+57.97-7 )/1.05
=43.75

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 43.746903068783-9.80 )/43.746903068783
= 77.6%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Gouverneur Bancorp  (OTCPK:GOVB) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Gouverneur Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gouverneur Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Gouverneur Bancorp (Gouverneur Bancorp) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
42 Church Street, Gouverneur, NY, USA, 13642
Gouverneur Bancorp Inc principal activities are to accept deposits from the public and utilize those funds in loans, debt obligations which are issued by the United States government and its agencies and mortgage-backed securities. The group serves individuals and businesses in St. Lawrence, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties in New York State. The company operates through its subsidiary Gouverneur Savings and Loan Association. The bank offers commercial, non-mortgage loans to local businesses for working capital, machinery and equipment purchases, expansion and other business purposes.
Executives
Timothy J Monroe director 42 CHURCH STREET, PO BOX 297, GOVENEUR NY 13642-0297
Henry J Leader director 42 CHURCH STREET, PO BOX 297, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
David Claren Mcclure director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR DC 13642
Clara Pistolesi Cummings director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR DC 13642
Chad Brian Soper director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR DC 13642
Amy Marie Rapholz director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR DC 13642
John Neil Mason director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
Kimberly Ann Adams officer: VP and CFO C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
Taylor James Robbins officer: Executive Vice President C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
Sadie May Hall officer: VP & Compliance Officer C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
Van Vleet Charles C Jr director, officer: President & CEO C/O GOUVERNEUR SAVINGS LOAN ASSOC, 42 CHURCH ST. BOX 297, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642-0297
Victor Alan James officer: VP & COO C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642

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