Amlak Finance PJSC (DFM:AMLAK) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


DFM:AMLAK Amlak Finance PJSC DFM:AMLAK
42 GF Score
Price د.إ1.28
GF Value د.إ19.53
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Amlak Finance PJSC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Amlak Finance PJSC DFM:AMLAK -1.54% 42 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates DFM:AMLAK with a GF Score™ of 42/100 and a GF Value™ of د.إ19.53 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Amlak Finance PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Amlak Finance PJSC  (DFM:AMLAK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Amlak Finance PJSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


DFM:AMLAK vs RKT, FNMA, PFSI: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Mortgage Finance subindustry, Amlak Finance PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amlak Finance PJSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Amlak Finance PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amlak Finance PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


DFM:AMLAK
42GF Score
Amlak Finance PJSC DFM:AMLAK
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Amlak Finance PJSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-11.37

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Amlak Finance PJSC (DFM:AMLAK) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Amlak Finance PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Amlak Finance PJSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Amlak Finance PJSC has a GF Score™ of 42/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Amlak Finance PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to RKT and FNMA?
Amlak Finance PJSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Banks company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Amlak Finance PJSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Amlak Finance PJSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Amlak Finance PJSC (DFM:AMLAK) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is د.إ19.53, compared to a current price of د.إ1.28 — trading 93.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Amlak Finance PJSC's overall GF Score™ is 42/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Amlak Finance PJSC (DFM:AMLAK), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Amlak Finance PJSC (DFM:AMLAK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Amlak Finance PJSC stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of د.إ1.28 is trading 93.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of د.إ19.53. GuruFocus considers Amlak Finance PJSC to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for DFM:AMLAK:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: د.إ19.53 vs. price of د.إ1.28 (93.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 42/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the DFM:AMLAK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Amlak Finance PJSC Business Description

Address Office No. 1803, 18th floor, Grosvenor Business Tower, Barsha Heights, Dubai, ARE
Amlak Finance PJSC is licensed as a finance company. It is mainly focused on financing and investing activities based on structures such as Ijara, Murabaha, Mudaraba, Wakala, and Musharaka. All activities of the Company are conducted in accordance with Islamic Sharia and within the provisions of its Articles and Memorandum of Association. The Group is organised into the following three business segments: Real Estate Financing, Real Estate Investments, and Corporate Finance Investments. The majority of revenue is from Real Estate Investments.
42GF Score

Get the complete analysis for DFM:AMLAK

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

د.إ1.28
Price
د.إ19.53
GF Value