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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Esports Entertainment Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 100.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
For the Gambling subindustry, Esports Entertainment Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Esports Entertainment Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Esports Entertainment Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
= | 12.50 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
= | 100.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
NIMTAAVG | = | Net Income | / | Market Total Assets |
= | Net Income | / | (Market Cap + Total Liabilities) |
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
TLMTA | = | Total Liabilities | / | Market Total Assets |
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
CASHMTA | = | Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities | / | Market Total Assets |
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
MB | = | Market Cap | / | Adjusted Book Equity |
= | Market Cap | / | (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity)) |
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Esports Entertainment Group (OTCPK:GMBL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Esports Entertainment Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Robert Soper | director | 251 LITTLE FALLS DRIVE, WILMINGTON DE 19808 |
Michael J Villani | officer: Interim CFO and Controller | 84 FESTIVAL CT., WHITE PLAINS NY 10603 |
Alex Igelman | officer: Chief Executive Officer | 800 STEELES AVE W, SUITE B10245, THORNHILL A6 L4J 7L2 |
Jennifer Shera Pace | officer: Chief People Officer | FLAT 6, BLOCK D, IL-PJAZZA,, BIRBAL STREET, BALZAN O1 BZN9015 |
Grant Johnson | director, 10 percent owner, officer: Pres./Sec./Treas. | C/O SWISS MEDICA, 53 YONGE STREET, TORONTO A6 A1 M5E 1J3 |
Lydia Roy | officer: Secretary | 9595 HIGHLAND POINTE PASS, DELRAY BEACH FL 33446 |
Mark Andrew Nielsen | director, officer: Director | 5271 E SAGEWOOD DRIVE, BOISE ID 83716 |
Lefevre Adrien | officer: Chief Compliance Officer | 170, PATER HOUSE,, LEVEL 1, PSAILA STREET, BIRKIRKARA O1 9077 |
Stuart James Tilly | officer: Chief Legal Officer | 170 PATER HOUSE,, PSAILA STREET, BIRKIRKARA O1 BKR 9077 |
Warwick Winston Bartlett | director | ROSE COTTAGE,, 28 BOWLING GREEN ROAD, CASTLETOWN Y8 IM9 1EB |
Daniel Michael Marks | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 170 PETER HOUSE, PSAILA STREET, BIRKIKARA O1 BKR 9077 |
Damian Mathews | director | 170 PETER HOUSE, PSAILA STREET, BIRKIRKARA O1 BRK 9077 |
James S Cardwell | officer: Interim CFO | CLINTON SQUARE, 75 S. CLINTON AVE., SUITE 510, ROCHESTER NY 14604 |
John Clyde Brackens | officer: Chief Information Officer | 66 EASTVILLE AVE, EASTVILLE SUBDIVISION, FILINVEST EAST HOMES, CAINTA, RIZAL R6 1900 |
Shawn Erickson | 10 percent owner | 280 NELSON STREET, SUITE 448, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 2E2 |
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