ERIE (Erie Indemnity Co) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $5.26 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ERIE Erie Indemnity Co ERIE
63 GF Score
Price $221.08
GF Value $344.35
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Erie Indemnity Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Erie Indemnity Co ERIE +3.06% 63 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.26 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates ERIE with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of $344.35 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Erie Indemnity Co's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.933. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $5.26 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Erie Indemnity Co's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -5.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Erie Indemnity Co was 21.60% per year. The lowest was -13.40% per year. And the median was 0.40% per year.

As of today (2026-07-24), Erie Indemnity Co's current stock price is $221.08. Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $5.26. Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 42.03.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Erie Indemnity Co was 139.19. The lowest was 13.33. And the median was 39.93.


Erie Indemnity Co  (NAS:ERIE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=221.08/5.26
=42.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Erie Indemnity Co was 139.19. The lowest was 13.33. And the median was 39.93.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Erie Indemnity Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Erie Indemnity Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Erie Indemnity Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Erie Indemnity Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.91 4.37 4.32 4.62 5.01

Erie Indemnity Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.87 5.09 5.28 5.01 5.26

ERIE vs NP, BRO, CRVL: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Erie Indemnity Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


ERIE
63GF Score
Erie Indemnity Co ERIE
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Erie Indemnity Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Erie Indemnity Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.933/330.2130*330.2130
=0.933

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Erie Indemnity Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.171 241.018 1.604
201609 1.742 241.428 2.383
201612 1.435 241.432 1.963
201703 -0.740 243.801 -1.002
201706 1.168 244.955 1.575
201709 1.246 246.819 1.667
201712 1.128 246.524 1.511
201803 -0.838 249.554 -1.109
201806 1.239 251.989 1.624
201809 1.953 252.439 2.555
201812 1.064 251.233 1.398
201903 0.131 254.202 0.170
201906 1.255 256.143 1.618
201909 1.708 256.759 2.197
201912 1.777 256.974 2.283
202003 -0.019 258.115 -0.024
202006 1.556 257.797 1.993
202009 1.765 260.280 2.239
202012 1.367 260.474 1.733
202103 0.382 264.877 0.476
202106 1.322 271.696 1.607
202109 2.417 274.310 2.910
202112 0.536 278.802 0.635
202203 0.139 287.504 0.160
202206 1.201 296.311 1.338
202209 2.084 296.808 2.319
202212 -0.312 296.797 -0.347
202303 0.495 301.836 0.542
202306 2.029 305.109 2.196
202309 0.491 307.789 0.527
202312 -0.393 306.746 -0.423
202403 1.109 312.332 1.172
202406 1.976 314.175 2.077
202409 3.278 315.301 3.433
202412 -0.891 315.605 -0.932
202503 1.514 319.799 1.563
202506 3.008 322.561 3.079
202509 3.526 324.800 3.585
202512 -0.588 324.054 -0.599
202603 0.933 330.213 0.933

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.26 mean?
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.26 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Erie Indemnity Co and its competitors.
Is Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Erie Indemnity Co's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.26. Overall, Erie Indemnity Co has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to NP and BRO?
Erie Indemnity Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.26 can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Insurance company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Erie Indemnity Co and its competitors. Erie Indemnity Co's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Erie Indemnity Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $344.35, compared to a current price of $221.08 — trading 35.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.26. Erie Indemnity Co's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.26 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Erie Indemnity Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $221.08 is trading 35.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $344.35. GuruFocus considers Erie Indemnity Co to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ERIE:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $5.26
  • GF Value™: $344.35 vs. price of $221.08 (35.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the ERIE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Erie Indemnity Co Business Description

Other Exchanges EI2:Germany
Address 100 Erie Insurance Place, Erie, PA, USA, 16530-0001
Erie Indemnity Co mainly performs services on behalf of the Erie Insurance Exchange relating to sales, underwriting, and issuance of policies. Erie Indemnity's results are tied to the performance of the Insurance Exchange, which principally provides automobile and homeowners insurance for individuals, along with multiperil, workers' compensation, and commercial automobile insurance for its commercial clients. The company operates exclusively in the United States.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ERIE

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$221.08
Price
$344.35
GF Value