PAG (Penske Automotive Group) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $10.60 (As of Jun. 2026)

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PAG Penske Automotive Group Inc PAG
85 GF Score
Price $215.76
GF Value $170.87
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Penske Automotive Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Penske Automotive Group PAG -1.50% 85 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $10.60 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates PAG with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of $170.87 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Penske Automotive Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $2.005. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $10.60 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Penske Automotive Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 23.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 24.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Penske Automotive Group was 79.20% per year. The lowest was 10.40% per year. And the median was 26.50% per year.

As of today (2026-08-05), Penske Automotive Group's current stock price is $215.76. Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $10.60. Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 20.35.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Penske Automotive Group was 36.68. The lowest was 9.25. And the median was 19.56.


Penske Automotive Group  (NYSE:PAG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=215.76/10.60
=20.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Penske Automotive Group was 36.68. The lowest was 9.25. And the median was 19.56.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Penske Automotive Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Penske Automotive Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Penske Automotive Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Penske Automotive Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.11 6.77 7.91 9.13 10.07

Penske Automotive Group Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.57 10.01 10.07 10.44 10.60

PAG vs KMX, ALTB, LAD: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Penske Automotive Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


PAG
85GF Score
Penske Automotive Group Inc PAG
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Penske Automotive Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Penske Automotive Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=2.005/333.9520*333.9520
=2.005

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Penske Automotive Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 1.851 241.428 2.560
201612 -1.441 241.432 -1.993
201703 1.807 243.801 2.475
201706 0.613 244.955 0.836
201709 0.927 246.819 1.254
201712 1.041 246.524 1.410
201803 1.281 249.554 1.714
201806 2.214 251.989 2.934
201809 0.581 252.439 0.769
201812 -0.454 251.233 -0.603
201903 0.334 254.202 0.439
201906 1.712 256.143 2.232
201909 3.698 256.759 4.810
201912 -2.456 256.974 -3.192
202003 2.297 258.115 2.972
202006 6.477 257.797 8.390
202009 0.345 260.280 0.443
202012 3.455 260.474 4.430
202103 2.443 264.877 3.080
202106 7.796 271.696 9.582
202109 4.367 274.310 5.316
202112 -1.649 278.802 -1.975
202203 4.199 287.504 4.877
202206 5.496 296.311 6.194
202209 3.679 296.808 4.139
202212 2.315 296.797 2.605
202303 3.017 301.836 3.338
202306 3.083 305.109 3.374
202309 4.922 307.789 5.340
202312 0.135 306.746 0.147
202403 5.270 312.332 5.635
202406 2.032 314.175 2.160
202409 2.846 315.301 3.014
202412 2.593 315.605 2.744
202503 3.089 319.799 3.226
202506 2.059 322.561 2.132
202509 4.283 324.800 4.404
202512 0.381 324.054 0.393
202603 2.316 330.213 2.342
202606 2.005 333.952 2.005

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $10.60 mean?
Penske Automotive Group (PAG) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $10.60 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Penske Automotive Group and its competitors.
Is Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Penske Automotive Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $10.60. Overall, Penske Automotive Group has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to KMX and ALTB?
Penske Automotive Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $10.60 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Penske Automotive Group and its competitors. Penske Automotive Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $10.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Penske Automotive Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Penske Automotive Group (PAG) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $170.87, compared to a current price of $215.76 — trading 26.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $10.60. Penske Automotive Group's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Penske Automotive Group (PAG), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $10.60 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Penske Automotive Group (PAG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Penske Automotive Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $215.76 is trading 26.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $170.87. GuruFocus considers Penske Automotive Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for PAG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $10.60
  • GF Value™: $170.87 vs. price of $215.76 (26.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PAG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Penske Automotive Group Business Description

Other Exchanges UA9:Germany
Address 2555 Telegraph Road, Bloomfield Hills, MI, USA, 48302-0954
Penske Automotive Group operates in 19 US states and overseas. It has about 150 US and Puerto Rico light-vehicle stores as well as 217 franchised dealerships overseas, primarily in the United Kingdom but also in Australia, Germany, Italy, and Japan. The company is the third-largest US publicly traded dealership in terms of light-vehicle revenue and sells more than 40 brands, with over 90% of retail automotive revenue coming from luxury and import names. Other segments are service and finance and insurance. The firm's Premier Truck Group owns 45 truck dealerships selling mostly Freightliner and Western Star brands, and Penske owns 15 used-vehicle stores, mostly in the US and UK under the CarShop (US) and Sytner Select (UK) brands. Penske is based in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PAG

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$215.76
Price
$170.87
GF Value