PAG (Penske Automotive Group) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PAG Penske Automotive Group Inc PAG
85 GF Score
Price $215.76
GF Value $170.87
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Penske Automotive Group Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Penske Automotive Group is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Penske Automotive Group  (NYSE:PAG) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Penske Automotive Group Risk Assessment Related Terms

PAG vs KMX, ALTB, LAD: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Penske Automotive Group's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Penske Automotive Group Risk Assessment vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Penske Automotive Group's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Penske Automotive Group's Risk Assessment falls into.


PAG
85GF Score
Penske Automotive Group Inc PAG
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Penske Automotive Group (PAG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Penske Automotive Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $215.76 is trading 26.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $170.87. GuruFocus considers Penske Automotive Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for PAG:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $170.87 vs. price of $215.76 (26.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PAG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Penske Automotive Group Business Description

Other Exchanges UA9:Germany
Address 2555 Telegraph Road, Bloomfield Hills, MI, USA, 48302-0954
Penske Automotive Group operates in 19 US states and overseas. It has about 150 US and Puerto Rico light-vehicle stores as well as 217 franchised dealerships overseas, primarily in the United Kingdom but also in Australia, Germany, Italy, and Japan. The company is the third-largest US publicly traded dealership in terms of light-vehicle revenue and sells more than 40 brands, with over 90% of retail automotive revenue coming from luxury and import names. Other segments are service and finance and insurance. The firm's Premier Truck Group owns 45 truck dealerships selling mostly Freightliner and Western Star brands, and Penske owns 15 used-vehicle stores, mostly in the US and UK under the CarShop (US) and Sytner Select (UK) brands. Penske is based in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PAG

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$215.76
Price
$170.87
GF Value