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First Mid Bancshares (First Mid Bancshares) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $45.67 (As of Mar24)


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What is First Mid Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, First Mid Bancshares's earnings power value is $45.67. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 28.56

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


First Mid Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Mid Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Mid Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

First Mid Bancshares Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.75 63.56 75.20 36.57 36.64

First Mid Bancshares Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.76 35.56 47.69 36.64 45.67

Competitive Comparison of First Mid Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Mid Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Mid Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Mid Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Mid Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



First Mid Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

First Mid Bancshares's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 231.9
DDA 14.0
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 22.9
Tax Rate % 22.29
Maintenance Capex 3.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,498.9
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 384.4
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 24.0

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $231.9 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 22.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 231.9 * 0.00% +22.9 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 22.29%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 22.29% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 14.0 * 0.5 * 22.29% = $1.557749302 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 1.557749302 = $1.557749302 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
First Mid Bancshares's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $3.4 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. First Mid Bancshares's current cash and cash equivalent = $1,498.9 Mil.
First Mid Bancshares's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 384.4 + 0.0 = $384.36 Mil.
First Mid Bancshares's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 24.0 Mil.

First Mid Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1.557749302 - 3.4)/ 9%+1,498.9-384.36 )/24.0
=45.67

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 45.674767808384-32.63 )/45.674767808384
= 28.56%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


First Mid Bancshares  (NAS:FMBH) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


First Mid Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First Mid Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First Mid Bancshares (First Mid Bancshares) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1421 Charleston Avenue, Mattoon, IL, USA, 61938
First Mid Bancshares Inc is a United States based financial holding company. Through its wholly-owned subsidiary, First Mid Bank, it is primarily engaged in the business of banking. It also provides data processing services to affiliates and insurance products and services to customers through its subsidiary. The company's operations cover community banking, wealth management and insurance services. Key revenue is derived from the provision of community banking services.
Executives
Todd J James director 400 BROAD ST, BELOITT WI 53511
Clay M Dean officer: SVP-Chief Deposit Services 2816 WESTERN AVE, MATTOON IL 61938
Robert S Cook director 631 S BODIN ST, HINSDALE IL 60521
Laura J Hughes officer: EVP, Chief Marketing & Deposit 1251 DEER CREEK RDG, DUBUQUE IA 52003
Bradley L Beesley officer: Executive VP-Wealth Management 1906 SUNSET AVE, EFFINGHAM IL 62401
James Kyle Mccurry director 302 CAMPUSVIEW DRIVE, SUITE 108, COLUMBIA MO 65201
Gisele A Marcus director 3827 SHAW BOULEVARD, ST. LOUIS MO 63110
Megan E Mcelwee officer: SVP, Chief Credit Officer 18537 E COUNTY ROAD 1280N, CHARLESTON IL 61920
Anya Y Schuetz officer: VP, Director of Project Mgmt 2119 REYNOLDS DRIVE, CHARLESTON IL 61938
Jordan D. Read officer: SVP, Chief Risk Officer 1713 CHANDLER WAY, ST. CHARLES MO 63303
Rhonda G Gatons officer: SVP, Director Human Resources 909 E 625 NORTH ROAD, TOWER HILL IL 62571
Ray A Sparks director 30 S COUNTRY CLUB RD, MATTOON IL 61938
David R. Hiden officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer 1421 CHARLESTON AVE, MATTOON IL 61938
Zachary Horn director 8 SOUTH WASHINGTON STREET, SULLIVAN IL 61951
Mary Westerhold director 6814 GOSHEN ROAD, EDWARDSVILLE IL 62025