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GTN (Gray Media) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-21.07 (As of Dec24)


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What is Gray Media Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec24, Gray Media's earnings power value is $-21.07. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Gray Media Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gray Media's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gray Media Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Gray Media Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.62 -42.05 -32.66 -36.40 -9.10

Gray Media Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -36.40 -23.04 -17.68 -20.15 -9.10

Competitive Comparison of Gray Media's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Broadcasting subindustry, Gray Media's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gray Media's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Gray Media's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gray Media's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Gray Media Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Gray Media's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,079
DDA 311
Operating Margin % 21.79
SGA * 25% 27
Tax Rate % 30.24
Maintenance Capex 216
Cash and Cash Equivalents 135
Short-Term Debt 30
Long-Term Debt 5,663
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 96

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 21.79%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,079 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 21.79%, Average Adjusted SGA = 27,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,079 * 21.79% +27 = $698.160285 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 30.24%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $698.160285 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 698.160285 * ( 1 - 30.24% ) = $487.05755962455 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 311 * 0.5 * 30.24% = $47.018535 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 487.05755962455 + 47.018535 = $534.07609462455 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Gray Media's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $216 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Gray Media's current cash and cash equivalent = $135 Mil.
Gray Media's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 5,663 + 30 = $5693 Mil.
Gray Media's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 96 Mil.

Gray Media's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 534.07609462455 - 216)/ 9%+135-5693 )/96
=-21.07

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -21.074063122159-4.34 )/-21.074063122159
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Gray Media  (NYSE:GTN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Gray Media Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Gray Media Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4370 Peachtree Road NE, Suite 400, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30319
Gray Media Inc is a multimedia company company. The company is engaged in owning and operating local television stations and digital assets serving. It also owns Gray Digital Media, a full-service digital agency offering national and local clients digital marketing strategies with the digital products and services. Its additional media properties include video production companies Raycom Sports, Tupelo Media Group, and PowerNation Studios, and studio production facilities Assembly Atlanta and Third Rail Studios. The group has a majority interest in Swirl Films.
Executives
Paul Mctear director 1451 WEST CYPRESS CREEK ROAD, SUITE 300, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Kevin Paul Latek officer: EVP Chief L & D Officer 4370 PEACHTREE ROAD, NE, ATLANTA GA 30319
Howell Hilton H Jr director, officer: Chairman, President & CEO 4370 PEACHTREE ROAD, N.E., ATLANTA GA 30319
Robin Robinson Howell director 3656 TUXEDO ROAD NW, ATLANTA GA 30305
Richard Lee Boger director
T L Elder director 5087 PINE BARK CIRCLE, DUNWOODY GA 30338
Sandra Breland Mcnamara officer: Executive Vice President, COO 4370 PEACHTREE ROAD, NE, ATLANTA GA 30319
Harriett J Robinson director
D Patrick Laplatney director 1451 WEST CYPRUS CREEK ROAD, SUITE 300, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Cowart Jackson S Iv officer: Chief Accounting Officer 126 N WASHINGTON STREET, ALBANY GA 31701
James C Ryan officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer
Lorri Mcclain director 4370 PEACHTREE ROAD, NE, ATLANTA GA 30319
Robert Lawrence Smith officer: SVP & COO 4370 PEACHTREE ROAD NE, SUITE 400, ATLANTA GA 30319
Spainhour Sterling A Jr. director 4370 PEACHTREE ROAD, NE, ATLANTA GA 30319
Bankers Fidelity Life Insurance Co 10 percent owner 4370 PEACHTREE ROAD NE, ATLANTA GA 30319