American Financial GroupAFG -0.50%78 Graham Number is $112.60 as of Mar. 2026, which is 10136% above its 10-year median of 1.10. GuruFocus rates AFG with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of $126.55 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 426 Insurance companies, American Financial Group ranks worse than 70.66% on this metric.
Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.
The historical rank and industry rank for American Financial Group's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:
AFG'
s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.64 Med: 1.1 Max: 1.35
Current: 1.26
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of American Financial Group was 1.35. The lowest was 0.64. And the median was 1.10.
AFG's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than 70.66% of 426
companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.95
vs AFG: 1.26
Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.
American Financial Group (NYSE:AFG) Graham Number Explanation
Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:
Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.
Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)
Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.
In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.
American Financial Group's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Graham number
=
Share Price (Today)
/
Graham number (Q: Mar. 2026 )
=
142.03
/
112.60
=
1.26
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Be Aware
Please keep these in mind:
1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.
American Financial Group Graham Number Related Terms
American Financial Group Graham Number Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, American Financial Group's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
American Financial Group Price-to-Graham-Number vs Insurance Industry
For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, American Financial Group's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where American Financial Group's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
American Financial Group (AFG) has a Graham Number of $112.60 as of Mar. 2026. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on American Financial Group and its competitors. This is 10136% above median its historical median of 1.10. Over the past decade, American Financial Group's Graham Number has ranged from 0.64 to 1.35. According to the industry distribution chart, American Financial Group ranks #301 out of 426 companies in the Insurance industry, placing it in the top 70.7%.
Is American Financial Group's Graham Number too high?
American Financial Group's current Graham Number of $112.60 is 10136% above median its 10-year median of 1.10. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.64 to a high of 1.35. The Insurance industry median Graham Number is 0.95. American Financial Group's value of $112.60 is 11752.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, American Financial Group ranks #301 out of 426 companies in the Insurance industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, American Financial Group has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does American Financial Group's Graham Number compare to CNA and ORI?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, American Financial Group ranks #301 out of 426 companies for Graham Number. This places American Financial Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Graham Number is 0.95. American Financial Group's value of $112.60 is 11752.6% above this benchmark. Historically, American Financial Group's own Graham Number has ranged from 0.64 to 1.35 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.10 vs. the industry median of 0.95, American Financial Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Graham Number for an Insurance company?
The median Graham Number among Insurance companies is 0.95, based on 426 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Graham Number significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Graham Number should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. American Financial Group's current Graham Number of $112.60 is 11752.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Graham Number mean?
A high Graham Number can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on American Financial Group and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Graham Number is 0.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. American Financial Group's current Graham Number is $112.60, which is 10136% above median its own 10-year median of 1.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is American Financial Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American Financial Group (AFG) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $126.55, compared to a current price of $142.03 — trading 12.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Graham Number is $112.60, which is 10136% above median its 10-year median of 1.10 and 11752.6% above the Insurance industry median of 0.95. American Financial Group's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Graham Number calculated?
Graham Number is calculated from a company's financial statements. For American Financial Group (AFG), the current Graham Number is $112.60 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is American Financial Group (AFG) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American Financial Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $142.03 is trading 12.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $126.55.
GuruFocus considers American Financial Group to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for AFG:
Graham Number: $112.60 (10136% above median its 10-year median of 1.10)
GF Value™: $126.55 vs. price of $142.03 (12.2% above fair value)
Industry Position: 11752.6% above the Insurance median (#301 of 426)
No single metric tells the full story. See the AFG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
American Financial Group Inc is an insurance holding company. Through its subsidiaries, it is engaged in the property and casualty insurance business, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses. The group operates through two segments: Property and Casualty Insurance, which generates maximum revenue, and Other. The Property and Casualty Insurance segment is further divided into different sub-segments, such as Property and transportation, Specialty casualty, and Specialty financial. These sub-segments offer insurance coverage for vehicles and commercial property, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses, workers' compensation insurance, risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, trade credit insurance, and other insurance products.
78GF Score
Get the complete analysis for AFG
Graham Number is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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