AFG (American Financial Group) Risk Assessment


AFG American Financial Group Inc AFG
80 GF Score
Price $142.75
GF Value $126.76
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is American Financial Group Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of American Financial Group is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

American Financial Group  (NYSE:AFG) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

American Financial Group Risk Assessment Related Terms

AFG vs CNA, ORI, AIZ: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, American Financial Group's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

American Financial Group Risk Assessment vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, American Financial Group's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Financial Group's Risk Assessment falls into.


AFG
80GF Score
American Financial Group Inc AFG
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is American Financial Group (AFG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, American Financial Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $142.75 is trading 12.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $126.76. GuruFocus considers American Financial Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AFG:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $126.76 vs. price of $142.75 (12.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AFG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

American Financial Group Business Description

Other Exchanges QFI:Germany
Address 301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45202
American Financial Group Inc is an insurance holding company. Through its subsidiaries, it is engaged in the property and casualty insurance business, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses. The group operates through two segments: Property and Casualty Insurance, which generates maximum revenue, and Other. The Property and Casualty Insurance segment is further divided into different sub-segments, such as Property and transportation, Specialty casualty, and Specialty financial. These sub-segments offer insurance coverage for vehicles and commercial property, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses, workers' compensation insurance, risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, trade credit insurance, and other insurance products.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AFG

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$142.75
Price
$126.76
GF Value