CTI Logistics (ASX:CLX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$5.25 (As of Sep. 10, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:CLX CTI Logistics Ltd ASX:CLX
63 GF Score
Price A$2.91
GF Value A$1.97
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is CTI Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

CTI Logistics ASX:CLX -2.68% 63 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.25 as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:CLX with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of A$1.97 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 732 Transportation companies, CTI Logistics ranks better than 67.62% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-10), CTI Logistics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.25. The stock price of CTI Logistics is A$2.91. Therefore, CTI Logistics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for CTI Logistics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:CLX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.29   Med: 0.43   Max: 1.21
Current: 0.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of CTI Logistics was 1.21. The lowest was 0.29. And the median was 0.43.

ASX:CLX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
67.62% of 732 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs ASX:CLX: 0.55

CTI Logistics  (ASX:CLX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

CTI Logistics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.91/5.2456395007059
=0.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CTI Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


CTI Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CTI Logistics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CTI Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

CTI Logistics Annual Data
Trend Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.45 4.48 4.68 4.71 5.25

CTI Logistics Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.68 0.00 4.71 0.00 5.25

ASX:CLX vs UPS, FDX, EXPD: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, CTI Logistics's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CTI Logistics Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, CTI Logistics's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CTI Logistics's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:CLX
63GF Score
CTI Logistics Ltd ASX:CLX
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CTI Logistics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get CTI Logistics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$21.75.

CTI Logistics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.783508514862*21.750142857143+144.38*0.8)/79.170
=5.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$5.25 mean?
CTI Logistics (ASX:CLX) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$5.25 as of Sep. 10, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on CTI Logistics and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CTI Logistics ranks #237 out of 732 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 32.4%.
Is CTI Logistics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
CTI Logistics' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.25. Based on the distribution chart, CTI Logistics ranks #237 out of 732 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, CTI Logistics has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CTI Logistics' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to UPS and FDX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, CTI Logistics ranks #237 out of 732 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts CTI Logistics in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.87. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Transportation company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Transportation companies is 0.87, based on 732 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on CTI Logistics and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. CTI Logistics's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CTI Logistics stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CTI Logistics (ASX:CLX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$1.97, compared to a current price of A$2.91 — trading 47.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.25. CTI Logistics' overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CTI Logistics (ASX:CLX), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.25 as of Sep. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CTI Logistics (ASX:CLX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CTI Logistics stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$2.91 is trading 47.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$1.97. GuruFocus considers CTI Logistics to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:CLX:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$5.25
  • GF Value™: A$1.97 vs. price of A$2.91 (47.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:CLX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CTI Logistics Business Description

Address 1 Drummond Place, West Perth, Perth, WA, AUS, 6005
CTI Logistics Ltd is an integrated shipping and logistics company. It is organized into four operating segments, which are Transport, Logistics, Property, and Other. The Transport Services segment includes the provision of courier, taxi, truck, parcel distribution, and fleet management. Logistics services include the provision of warehousing and distribution, specialized flooring logistics, supply-based management services, and document storage services. The property segment includes the rental of owner-occupied and investment properties. The Other segment is engaged in the provision of security services. The majority of revenue comes from the Transport segment. It provides services in Western Australia, South Australia, New South Wales, Victoria, and Queensland.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:CLX

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$2.91
Price
A$1.97
GF Value