EBKOF (Erste Group Bank AG.) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $130.07 (As of Aug. 07, 2026) — 28176% Above Median

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EBKOF Erste Group Bank AG. EBKOF
76 GF Score
Price $142.25
GF Value $90.99
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Erste Group Bank AG. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Erste Group Bank AG. EBKOF +1.11% 76 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $130.07 as of Aug. 07, 2026, which is 28176% above its 10-year median of 0.46. GuruFocus rates EBKOF with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $90.99 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,264 Banks companies, Erste Group Bank AG. ranks worse than 84.97% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-07), Erste Group Bank AG.'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $130.07. The stock price of Erste Group Bank AG. is $142.247. Therefore, Erste Group Bank AG.'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Erste Group Bank AG.'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

EBKOF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.13   Med: 0.46   Max: 1.56
Current: 1.09

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Erste Group Bank AG. was 1.56. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.46.

EBKOF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
84.97% of 1264 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.59 vs EBKOF: 1.09

Erste Group Bank AG.  (OTCPK:EBKOF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Erste Group Bank AG.'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=142.247/146.33078225035
=0.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Erste Group Bank AG. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Erste Group Bank AG. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Erste Group Bank AG.'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Erste Group Bank AG. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Erste Group Bank AG. Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 175.09 128.40 128.80 128.66 174.52

Erste Group Bank AG. Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 164.91 139.31 174.52 226.50 128.38

EBKOF vs PNC, USB: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Erste Group Bank AG.'s Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Erste Group Bank AG. Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Erste Group Bank AG.'s Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Erste Group Bank AG.'s Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


EBKOF
76GF Score
Erste Group Bank AG. EBKOF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Erste Group Bank AG. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Erste Group Bank AG.'s Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2,058.72.

Erste Group Bank AG.'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*2058.72384+32805.3*0.8)/388.451
=146.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $130.07 mean?
Erste Group Bank AG. (EBKOF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $130.07 as of Aug. 07, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Erste Group Bank AG. and its competitors. This is 28176% above median its historical median of 0.46. Over the past decade, Erste Group Bank AG.'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.13 to 1.56. According to the industry distribution chart, Erste Group Bank AG. ranks #1074 out of 1264 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 85%.
Is Erste Group Bank AG.'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Erste Group Bank AG.'s current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $130.07 is 28176% above median its 10-year median of 0.46. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.13 to a high of 1.56. The Banks industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.59. Erste Group Bank AG.'s value of $130.07 is 21945.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Erste Group Bank AG. ranks #1074 out of 1264 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Erste Group Bank AG. has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Erste Group Bank AG.'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to PNC and USB?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, Erste Group Bank AG. ranks #1074 out of 1264 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Erste Group Bank AG. in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.59. Erste Group Bank AG.'s value of $130.07 is 21945.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Erste Group Bank AG.'s own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.13 to 1.56 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.46 vs. the industry median of 0.59, Erste Group Bank AG. has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Banks company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Banks companies is 0.59, based on 1,264 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Erste Group Bank AG.'s current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $130.07 is 21945.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Erste Group Bank AG. and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.59 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Erste Group Bank AG.'s current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $130.07, which is 28176% above median its own 10-year median of 0.46. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Erste Group Bank AG. stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Erste Group Bank AG. (EBKOF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $90.99, compared to a current price of $142.25 — trading 56.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $130.07, which is 28176% above median its 10-year median of 0.46 and 21945.8% above the Banks industry median of 0.59. Erste Group Bank AG.'s overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Erste Group Bank AG. (EBKOF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $130.07 as of Aug. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Erste Group Bank AG. (EBKOF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Erste Group Bank AG. stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $142.25 is trading 56.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $90.99. GuruFocus considers Erste Group Bank AG. to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for EBKOF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $130.07 (28176% above median its 10-year median of 0.46)
  • GF Value™: $90.99 vs. price of $142.25 (56.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 21945.8% above the Banks median (#1074 of 1264)

No single metric tells the full story. See the EBKOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Erste Group Bank AG. Business Description

Address Am Belvedere 1, Vienna, AUT, A-1100
Erste Group Bank AG. is an Austria-based financial services provider catering to the needs of individuals, corporates, small businesses, and other enterprises. It offers a complete range of banking and other financial services, such as savings accounts, asset management (including investment funds), consumer credit and mortgage lending, investment banking, securities and derivatives trading, project finance, foreign exchange trading, leasing, factoring, etc. The Group's operating segments are defined according to the core markets in which it operates and include Austria, Central and Eastern Europe, and Other. Maximum revenue is generated from the Central and Eastern Europe segment, which represents its operations in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania, Hungary, Croatia, and Serbia.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for EBKOF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$142.25
Price
$90.99
GF Value