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FER (Ferrovial SE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $21.52 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Ferrovial SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-11), Ferrovial SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $21.52. The stock price of Ferrovial SE is $42.52. Therefore, Ferrovial SE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ferrovial SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FER' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.61   Med: 1.61   Max: 1.98
Current: 1.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ferrovial SE was 1.98. The lowest was 1.61. And the median was 1.61.

FER's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
75.28% of 1181 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.95 vs FER: 1.98

Ferrovial SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ferrovial SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ferrovial SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ferrovial SE Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.60 20.09 16.26 16.96 21.94

Ferrovial SE Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 21.94 - -

Competitive Comparison of Ferrovial SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Infrastructure Operations subindustry, Ferrovial SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ferrovial SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Ferrovial SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ferrovial SE's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ferrovial SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ferrovial SE's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,057.40.

Ferrovial SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.773635598597*1057.398+4106.87*0.8)/728.255
=21.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ferrovial SE  (NAS:FER) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ferrovial SE's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=42.52/21.606325716521
=1.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ferrovial SE Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ferrovial SE's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ferrovial SE Business Description

Industry
Address
Amsterdam Teleport Towers, Kingsfordweg 151 2nd Floor, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1043GR
Ferrovial SE is a Spanish industrial company. The company organizes itself into four segments: Toll Roads, Airports, Construction, and Energy and mobility infrastructures. The Toll Roads segment develops and operates toll roads globally. The Airports segment operates four airports in the United Kingdom, Heathrow, Aberdeen, Glasgow, and Southampton. The Construction segment designs and constructs buildings, transport infrastructure, water projects, and completes civil engineering work. The Energy and mobility infrastructures segment includes the operation of infrastructure for transport, natural resources, utilities, telecommunications, and waste collection and treatment. By country, the USA represents the maximum contribution to revenue, followed by Poland operations.