Lorenzo Shipping (PHS:LSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₱0.39 (As of Jul. 29, 2026) — 22% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

PHS:LSC Lorenzo Shipping Corp PHS:LSC
17 GF Score
Price ₱0.64
GF Value ₱0.20
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Lorenzo Shipping Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Lorenzo Shipping PHS:LSC +1.59% 17 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱0.39 as of Jul. 29, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.50. GuruFocus rates PHS:LSC with a GF Score™ of 17/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱0.20 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 729 Transportation companies, Lorenzo Shipping ranks worse than 75.58% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-07-29), Lorenzo Shipping's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱0.39. The stock price of Lorenzo Shipping is ₱0.64. Therefore, Lorenzo Shipping's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lorenzo Shipping's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PHS:LSC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1   Med: 0.5   Max: 33.5
Current: 1.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lorenzo Shipping was 33.50. The lowest was 0.10. And the median was 0.50.

PHS:LSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
75.58% of 729 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs PHS:LSC: 1.64

Lorenzo Shipping  (PHS:LSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lorenzo Shipping's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.64/0.38585742001505
=1.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lorenzo Shipping Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Lorenzo Shipping Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lorenzo Shipping's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lorenzo Shipping Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Lorenzo Shipping Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.46 3.84 4.89 1.93 0.89

Lorenzo Shipping Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.63 1.11 0.75 0.89 0.39

Lorenzo Shipping Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitor Comparison

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, Lorenzo Shipping's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lorenzo Shipping Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Lorenzo Shipping's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lorenzo Shipping's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


PHS:LSC
17GF Score
Lorenzo Shipping Corp PHS:LSC
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lorenzo Shipping Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lorenzo Shipping's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₱29.13.

Lorenzo Shipping's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*29.1272+130.956*0.8)/990.174
=0.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱0.39 mean?
Lorenzo Shipping (PHS:LSC) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱0.39 as of Jul. 29, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Lorenzo Shipping and its competitors. This is 22% below median its historical median of 0.50. Over the past decade, Lorenzo Shipping's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.10 to 33.50. According to the industry distribution chart, Lorenzo Shipping ranks #551 out of 729 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 75.6%.
Is Lorenzo Shipping's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Lorenzo Shipping's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of ₱0.39 is 22% below median its 10-year median of 0.50. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.10 to a high of 33.50. Based on the distribution chart, Lorenzo Shipping ranks #551 out of 729 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Lorenzo Shipping has a GF Score™ of 17/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lorenzo Shipping's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to competitors?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Lorenzo Shipping ranks #551 out of 729 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Lorenzo Shipping in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.84. Historically, Lorenzo Shipping's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.10 to 33.50 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Transportation company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Transportation companies is 0.84, based on 729 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Lorenzo Shipping and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.84 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lorenzo Shipping's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱0.39, which is 22% below median its own 10-year median of 0.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lorenzo Shipping stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lorenzo Shipping (PHS:LSC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱0.20, compared to a current price of ₱0.64 — trading 220% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱0.39, which is 22% below median its 10-year median of 0.50. Lorenzo Shipping's overall GF Score™ is 17/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lorenzo Shipping (PHS:LSC), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₱0.39 as of Jul. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lorenzo Shipping (PHS:LSC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lorenzo Shipping stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₱0.64 is trading 220% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₱0.20. GuruFocus considers Lorenzo Shipping to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:LSC:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: ₱0.39 (22% below median its 10-year median of 0.50)
  • GF Value™: ₱0.20 vs. price of ₱0.64 (220% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 17/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:LSC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lorenzo Shipping Business Description

Address United Nations Avenue, 20th Floor, Times Plaza Building, Ermita, Manila, PHL, 1000
Lorenzo Shipping Corp is engaged in the business of domestic inter-island cargo handling services. It offers containerized shipping services. The company operates in the segment of branches and agencies and is involved in the domestic inter-island cargo shipping activities. In addition, it owns and operates approximately ten ports nationwide namely, Manila, Bacolod, Iloilo, Cebu, Dumaguete, Cagayan de Oro, Zamboanga, Davao, Cotabato and General Santos.
17GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:LSC

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱0.64
Price
₱0.20
GF Value