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Take-Two Interactive Software (NAS:TTWO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $-84.13 (As of Today)
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As of today (2023-09-25), Take-Two Interactive Software's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-84.13.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Take-Two Interactive Software's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Take-Two Interactive Software is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Take-Two Interactive Software's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TTWO's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 0.85
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Take-Two Interactive Software Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Take-Two Interactive Software's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Take-Two Interactive Software Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Take-Two Interactive Software Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Take-Two Interactive Software Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Take-Two Interactive Software's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-7.290.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Take-Two Interactive Software's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-7.290*11.5406
=-84.13

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-84.13-138.21)/-84.13
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Take-Two Interactive Software  (NAS:TTWO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Take-Two Interactive Software Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Take-Two Interactive Software's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Take-Two Interactive Software (NAS:TTWO) Business Description

Take-Two Interactive Software logo
Address
110 West 44th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Found in 1993, Take-Two consists of three wholly owned labels, Rockstar Games, 2K, and Zynga. The firm is one of the world's largest independent video game publishers on consoles, PCs, smartphones, and tablets. Take-Two's franchise portfolio is headlined by "Grand Theft Auto" (345 million units sold) and contains other well-known titles such as "NBA 2K," "Civilization," "Borderlands," "Bioshock," and "Xcom." Zynga mobile titles include "Farmville," "Empires & Puzzles," and "CSR Racing.
Executives
William B Gordon director
Ellen F Siminoff director 555 ELLIS STREET, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Roland A Hernandez director 300 NORTH SAN RAFAEL AVE, PASADENA CA 91105
Paul E Viera director C/O TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE, INC., 110 WEST 44TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
Laverne Evans Srinivasan director C/O TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE, INC., 622 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10012
Daniel P Emerson officer: General Counsel 622 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10012
Susan Tolson director C/O TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE, INC., 622 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Benjamim Feder officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ZELNICKMEDIA CORPORATION, 650 5TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10019
Karl Slatoff officer: Executive Vice President C/O ZELNICKMEDIA CORPORATION, 19 WEST 44TH STREET, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Brett Icahn director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
James Larry Nelson director 2747 PARADISE ROAD, PH2804, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Sunghwan Cho director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Strauss Zelnick director, officer: Executive Chairman C/O ZELNICKMEDIA, 650 FIFTH AVE 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lainie Goldstein officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE, INC., 622 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10012
Seth D Krauss officer: Exec VP and General Counsel C/O TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE, INC., 222 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10012