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Cisco Systems (NAS:CSCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $43.71 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2023-03-21), Cisco Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.71. The stock price of Cisco Systems is $50.67. Therefore, Cisco Systems's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cisco Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CSCO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.57   Med: 1.37   Max: 58.5
Current: 1.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cisco Systems was 58.50. The lowest was 0.57. And the median was 1.37.

CSCO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
58.28% of 1577 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.40 vs CSCO: 1.16

Cisco Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cisco Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cisco Systems Annual Data
Trend Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.04 37.88 39.93 41.30 41.80

Cisco Systems Quarterly Data
Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.44 41.94 41.80 42.87 43.71

Competitive Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Cisco Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Cisco Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Cisco Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cisco Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



Cisco Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cisco Systems's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $14,197.28.

Cisco Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.336311950585*14197.28+41474*0.8)/4116.000
=43.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cisco Systems  (NAS:CSCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cisco Systems's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=50.67/43.713973500924
=1.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cisco Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cisco Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cisco Systems (NAS:CSCO) Business Description

Cisco Systems logo
Industry
Address
170 West Tasman Drive, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134-1706
Cisco Systems is the largest provider of networking equipment in the world and one of the largest software companies in the world. Its largest businesses are selling networking hardware and software (where it has leading market shares) and cybersecurity software like firewalls. It also has collaboration products, like its Webex suite, and observability tools. It primarily outsources its manufacturing to third parties and has a large sales and marketing staff—25,000 strong across 90 countries. Overall, Cisco employees 80,000 employees and sells its products globally.
Executives
Sarah Rae Murphy director C/O CISCO SYSTEMS, INC., 170 WEST TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Jeffery S. Sharritts officer: EVP & Chief Cust & Prtnr Offcr 1200 ABERNATHY RD., NE, STE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Deborah L Stahlkopf officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer C/O CISCO SYSTEMS, INC., 170 WEST TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Marianna Tessel director C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
John D Harris director C/O FLEXTRONICS INTERNATIONAL USA, INC., 6201 AMERICA CENTER DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Richard Scott Herren officer: EVP and CFO 851 WEST CYPRESS CREEK ROAD, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Wesley G Bush director 333 MAPLE AVENUE EAST, #3080, VIENNA VA 22180
Lisa T Su director C/O ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES, INC., 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Carol B Tome director 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Geraldine Elliott officer: EVP, Chief Sales & Mktg Offcr 1194 N. MATHILDA AVE., SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Maria Martinez officer: EVP, Chief Customer Exp Offcr THE LANDMARK @ 1 MARKET STREET, SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Mark Garrett director 106 EAST BABCOCK STREET SUITE 3A, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Irving Tan officer: SVP, Operations and Digital 170 WEST TASMAN DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
David Goeckeler officer: EVP, Networking and Security C/O WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION, 5601 GREAT OAKS PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95119
Brent L Saunders director 2000 GALLOPING HILL ROAD, C/O SCHERING PLOUGH CORP, KENILWORTH NJ 07033

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