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First Guaranty Bancshares (First Guaranty Bancshares) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $36.25 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is First Guaranty Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-06), First Guaranty Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $36.25. The stock price of First Guaranty Bancshares is $11.17. Therefore, First Guaranty Bancshares's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for First Guaranty Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FGBI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31   Med: 0.59   Max: 0.97
Current: 0.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of First Guaranty Bancshares was 0.97. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.59.

FGBI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
69.52% of 1217 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.44 vs FGBI: 0.31

First Guaranty Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Guaranty Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Guaranty Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

First Guaranty Bancshares Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.41 29.99 39.76 45.35 36.25

First Guaranty Bancshares Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 44.53 44.37 39.73 36.25 -

Competitive Comparison of First Guaranty Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Guaranty Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Guaranty Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Guaranty Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Guaranty Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



First Guaranty Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get First Guaranty Bancshares's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $19.68.

First Guaranty Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.936106726364*19.6784+250.32*0.8)/12.490
=34.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Guaranty Bancshares  (NAS:FGBI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

First Guaranty Bancshares's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.17/34.839029832193
=0.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


First Guaranty Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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First Guaranty Bancshares (First Guaranty Bancshares) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 East Thomas Street, Hammond, LA, USA, 70401
First Guaranty Bancshares Inc provides personalized commercial banking services to its customers in Louisiana, through several banking facilities in the Market Services Areas. Its principal business activity includes attracting deposits and investing it together with funds generated from operations and borrowings insecurities and in lending activities to serve the credit needs of its customer base. The company offers commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, construction and land development loans, agricultural and farmland loans, and to a lesser extent, consumer and multifamily loans.
Executives
Vanessa R Drew director 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Amanda Wood Barnett officer: General Counsel 1412 CENTRE COURT DRIVE, SUITE 101, ALEXANDRIA LA 71301
Smith Edgar R. Iii director 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
William K Hood director 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Marshall T Reynolds director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board 2450 FIRST AVENUE, HUNTINGTON WV 25704
Smith & Hood Holding Company, Llc 10 percent owner 11239 HIGHWAY 16, AMITE LA 70422
Eric Dosch officer: SVP and CFO 2450 FIRST AVENUE, HUNTINGTON WV 25703
Jack Rossi director 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Lewis Alton B Jr officer: Chief Executive Officer 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Glenda Baskin Glover director 911 E. WINDING CREEK DRIVE, SUITE 150, EAGLE ID 83616
Smith & Hood Investments, Llc 10 percent owner P.O. BOX 367, AMITE LA 70422
Gary A Simanson director 717 KING STREET, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Michael R. Sharp officer: President and CLO 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Michele E. Lobianco officer: Chief Financial Officer 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Loy F. Weaver officer: Executive Vice President 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401

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