The Travelers (MEX:TRV) Beneish M-Score: -2.67 (As of Jul. 13, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:TRV The Travelers Companies Inc MEX:TRV
78 GF Score
Price MXN5,323.00
GF Value MXN4,156.38
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Travelers Beneish M-Score?

The Travelers MEX:TRV 78 Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:TRV with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN4,156.38. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 399 Insurance companies, The Travelers ranks better than 69.42% on this metric.

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Travelers's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:TRV' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.68   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.54
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Travelers was -2.54. The lowest was -2.68. And the median was -2.61.

MEX:TRV
78GF Score
The Travelers Companies Inc MEX:TRV
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Travelers Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Travelers for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9018+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1+0.892 * 0.9598+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0157+4.679 * -0.03135-0.327 * 1.0802
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN405,051 Mil.
Revenue was 215021.915 + 223846.863 + 228752.174 + 228134.587 = MXN895,756 Mil.
Gross Profit was 215021.915 + 223846.863 + 228752.174 + 228134.587 = MXN895,756 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN0 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN2,566,216 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN12,530 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN113,517 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN161,717 Mil.
Net Income was 30853.95 + 44942.227 + 34633.85 + 28413.263 = MXN138,843 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 2542.611 + 2250.713 + 2714.942 + 2315.992 = MXN9,824 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 39635.875 + 48345.305 + 77540.933 + 43947.353 = MXN209,469 Mil.
 Total Receivables was MXN467,940 Mil.
Revenue was 241611.342 + 250539.524 + 234393.331 + 206705.722 = MXN933,250 Mil.
Gross Profit was 241611.342 + 250539.524 + 234393.331 + 206705.722 = MXN933,250 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN0 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN2,781,845 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN14,006 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN116,436 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN162,295 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(405050.508 / 895755.539) / (467940.409 / 933249.919)
=0.452189 / 0.50141
=0.9018

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(933249.919 / 933249.919) / (895755.539 / 895755.539)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 0) / 2566215.506) / (1 - (0 + 0) / 2781844.663)
=1 / 1
=1

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=895755.539 / 933249.919
=0.9598

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(14005.992 / (14005.992 + 0)) / (12530.36 / (12530.36 + 0))
=1 / 1
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(113517.388 / 895755.539) / (116435.621 / 933249.919)
=0.126728 / 0.124764
=1.0157

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((161717.254 + 0) / 2566215.506) / ((162294.901 + 0) / 2781844.663)
=0.063018 / 0.058341
=1.0802

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(138843.29 - 9824.258 - 209469.466) / 2566215.506
=-0.03135

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Travelers has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 mean?
The Travelers (MEX:TRV) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 as of Jul. 13, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Travelers and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The Travelers ranks #122 out of 399 companies in the Insurance industry, placing it in the top 30.6%.
Is The Travelers' Beneish M-Score too high?
The Travelers' current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Based on the distribution chart, The Travelers ranks #122 out of 399 companies in the Insurance industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, The Travelers has a GF Score™ of 78/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Travelers' Beneish M-Score compare to ALL and CINF?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, The Travelers ranks #122 out of 399 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts The Travelers in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Insurance company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on The Travelers and its competitors. The Travelers's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Travelers stock overvalued right now?
The Travelers (MEX:TRV) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.67. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN4,156.38, compared to a current price of MXN5,323.00 — trading 28.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. The Travelers' overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Travelers (MEX:TRV), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Travelers (MEX:TRV) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Travelers stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN5,323.00 is trading 28.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN4,156.38.

Key valuation signals for MEX:TRV:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.67
  • GF Value™: MXN4,156.38 vs. price of MXN5,323.00 (28.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:TRV stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

The Travelers Business Description

Address 485 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10017
Travelers offers a broad product range and participates in both commercial and personal insurance lines. Its commercial operations offer a variety of coverage types for companies of any size but concentrate on serving midsize businesses. Its personal lines are roughly evenly split between auto and homeowners insurance.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:TRV

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN5,323.00
Price
MXN4,156.38
GF Value