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China Airlines (TPE:2610) Beneish M-Score : -3.44 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is China Airlines Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Airlines's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:2610' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.44   Med: -2.95   Max: -2.14
Current: -3.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Airlines was -2.14. The lowest was -3.44. And the median was -2.95.


China Airlines Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Airlines's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Airlines Beneish M-Score Chart

China Airlines Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.08 -2.14 -3.04 -2.40 -3.44

China Airlines Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.36 -3.44 -3.32 - -

Competitive Comparison of China Airlines's Beneish M-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, China Airlines's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Airlines's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, China Airlines's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Airlines's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Airlines Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Airlines for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7299+0.528 * 0.585+0.404 * 1.2438+0.892 * 1.2262+0.115 * 0.9378
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.168338-0.327 * 0.9968
=-3.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$10,825 Mil.
Revenue was NT$184,817 Mil.
Gross Profit was NT$23,831 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$69,693 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$291,242 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$175,574 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$30,657 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$90,046 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$67,187 Mil.
Net Income was NT$6,819 Mil.
Gross Profit was NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was NT$55,846 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$12,094 Mil.
Revenue was NT$150,722 Mil.
Gross Profit was NT$11,370 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$69,822 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$294,412 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$187,223 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$30,327 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$71,255 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$88,198 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10824.913 / 184816.79) / (12094.495 / 150722.471)
=0.058571 / 0.080243
=0.7299

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(11370.213 / 150722.471) / (23830.774 / 184816.79)
=0.075438 / 0.128943
=0.585

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (69693.315 + 175573.814) / 291242.431) / (1 - (69822.343 + 187222.811) / 294412.193)
=0.157859 / 0.126921
=1.2438

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=184816.79 / 150722.471
=1.2262

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(30327.038 / (30327.038 + 187222.811)) / (30656.95 / (30656.95 + 175573.814))
=0.139403 / 0.148654
=0.9378

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 184816.79) / (0 / 150722.471)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((67186.58 + 90045.667) / 291242.431) / ((88198.259 + 71255.078) / 294412.193)
=0.539867 / 0.541599
=0.9968

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6818.552 - 0 - 55845.601) / 291242.431
=-0.168338

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Airlines has a M-score of -3.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China Airlines Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Airlines Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 1, Hangzhan South Road, Dayuan District, Taoyuan, TWN
China Airlines Ltd provides air transportation services. The company is composed of its flight and non-flight segments. The flight segment is the core business of the firm and offers transport services primarily for passengers and cargo. A vast proportion of the company's revenue is generated from transporting passengers in its flight operating unit. The non-flight segment provides various services such as mail and ground solutions, data processing services to other airlines, aircraft maintenance, and aircraft leasing. It engages in air transportation services for passengers, cargo and others. The company's geographical segments include America, Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, Europe, Australia, China, and Domestic.

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