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Shinkin Central Bank (TSE:8421) Beneish M-Score : -2.91 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Shinkin Central Bank Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shinkin Central Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8421' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.91   Med: -2.67   Max: -1.86
Current: -2.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Shinkin Central Bank was -1.86. The lowest was -2.91. And the median was -2.67.


Shinkin Central Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Shinkin Central Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1+0.892 * 0.931+0.115 * 0.9657
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1038+4.679 * -0.06464-0.327 * 1.1428
=-2.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円0 Mil.
Revenue was 円234,473 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円234,473 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円0 Mil.
Total Assets was 円47,622,424 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円74,611 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円10,626 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円59,169 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円6,495,790 Mil.
Net Income was 円32,145 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円3,110,438 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円0 Mil.
Revenue was 円251,861 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円251,861 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円0 Mil.
Total Assets was 円46,095,333 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円72,028 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円9,858 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円57,580 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円5,501,978 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 234473) / (0 / 251861)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(251861 / 251861) / (234473 / 234473)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 74611) / 47622424) / (1 - (0 + 72028) / 46095333)
=0.998433 / 0.998437
=1

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=234473 / 251861
=0.931

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9858 / (9858 + 72028)) / (10626 / (10626 + 74611))
=0.120387 / 0.124664
=0.9657

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(59169 / 234473) / (57580 / 251861)
=0.252349 / 0.228618
=1.1038

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6495790 + 0) / 47622424) / ((5501978 + 0) / 46095333)
=0.136402 / 0.119361
=1.1428

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(32145 - 0 - 3110438) / 47622424
=-0.06464

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Shinkin Central Bank has a M-score of -2.91 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Shinkin Central Bank Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Shinkin Central Bank (TSE:8421) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3-7, Yaesu 1-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-0028
Shinkin Central Bank provides various financial products and services, including deposit, bond, financing, market operation, securities, and settlement, as well as business support and function supplement for cooperative banks. It uses the funds deposited from Shinkin banks throughout Japan to invest in marketable securities in the financial markets in Japan and overseas. It provides loans to operating companies.