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Safety Insurance Group (NAS:SAFT) Free Cash Flow per Share

: $2.46 (TTM As of Sep. 2023)
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Safety Insurance Group's Free Cash Flow per Share for the three months ended in Sep. 2023 was $2.02. Its Free Cash Flow per Share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023 was $2.46.

During the past 12 months, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of Safety Insurance Group was -28.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was -24.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was -6.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 0.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the FCF Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

The historical rank and industry rank for Safety Insurance Group's Free Cash Flow per Share or its related term are showing as below:

SAFT' s 3-Year FCF Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -53.1   Med: -3.6   Max: 82
Current: -24.6

During the past 13 years, Safety Insurance Group's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 82.00% per year. The lowest was -53.10% per year. And the median was -3.60% per year.

SAFT's 3-Year FCF Growth Rate is ranked worse than
81.58% of 342 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 5.55 vs SAFT: -24.60

Safety Insurance Group Free Cash Flow per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Safety Insurance Group's Free Cash Flow per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Safety Insurance Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Free Cash Flow per Share
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.65 6.71 6.58 8.92 2.87

Safety Insurance Group Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Free Cash Flow per Share Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.55 1.39 -0.91 -0.04 2.02

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Safety Insurance Group's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Safety Insurance Group Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Safety Insurance Group's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Safety Insurance Group's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow falls into.



Safety Insurance Group Free Cash Flow per Share Calculation

Free Cashflow per Share is the amount of Free Cashflow per outstanding share of the company's stock.

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Note: GuruFocus does not calculate Free Cash Flow Per Share when Capital Expenditure is 0.

Safety Insurance Group's Free Cash Flow Per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2022 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow Per Share(A: Dec. 2022 )
=(Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(44.326+-2.092)/14.711
=42.234/14.711
=2.87

Safety Insurance Group's Free Cash Flow Per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow Per Share(Q: Sep. 2023 )
=(Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(30.501+-0.85)/14.682
=29.651/14.682
=2.02

Free Cash Flow per Share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $2.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Safety Insurance Group  (NAS:SAFT) Free Cash Flow per Share Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Dec22, Safety Insurance Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Dec22)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=6.1447619/68.19+-0.1298
=-3.97 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


Safety Insurance Group Free Cash Flow per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Safety Insurance Group's Free Cash Flow per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Safety Insurance Group (NAS:SAFT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Custom House Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Safety Insurance Group Inc is a provider of private passenger automobile insurance in Massachusetts. The company also offers property and casualty insurance products, including commercial automobiles, homeowners, dwelling fire, umbrella, and business owner policies. It operates in the business segment of Property and casualty insurance operations.
Executives
Glenn Hiltpold officer: VP of Actuarial Services 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Brophy Charles Joseph Iii director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Dennis J. Langwell director C/O LIBERTY MUTUAL GROUP, 175 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Srb Corp 10 percent owner 695 ATLANTIC AVENUE, BOSTON MA 02111
Peter J Manning director FLEETBOSTON FINANCIAL CORP, 100 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Christopher Thomas Whitford officer: VP, CFO and Secretary 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Stephen Albert Varga officer: VP - MIS 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
James Berry officer: VP - Insurance Operations C/O SAFETY INSURANCE, 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Farina John Daniel Jr. director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE ST, BOSTON MA 02110
Deborah E Gray director 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Frederic H Lindeberg director C/O SAFETY INSURANCE GROUP, INC., 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Ann Marie Mckeown officer: V.P Insurance Operations 20 CUSTOM HOUSE STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Moran Mary Coffey director DANVERS BANCORP, INC., ONE CONANT STREET, DANVERS MA 01923
David E Krupa officer: VP - Property Claims
David D Mckown director