SAFT (Safety Insurance Group) Beneish M-Score: -2.49 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc SAFT
61 GF Score
Price $73.57
GF Value $101.23
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Safety Insurance Group Beneish M-Score?

Safety Insurance Group SAFT +1.04% 61 Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates SAFT with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of $101.23 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 399 Insurance companies, Safety Insurance Group ranks better than 50.13% on this metric.

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.49 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Safety Insurance Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAFT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.49   Med: -2.45   Max: -2.28
Current: -2.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Safety Insurance Group was -2.28. The lowest was -2.49. And the median was -2.45.

SAFT
61GF Score
Safety Insurance Group Inc SAFT
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Safety Insurance Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Safety Insurance Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9214+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0013+0.892 * 1.1301+0.115 * 1.2079
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.038543-0.327 * 0.6925
=-2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $483 Mil.
Revenue was $1,254 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,254 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,471 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $19 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $12 Mil.
Net Income was $99 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $194 Mil.
 Total Receivables was $464 Mil.
Revenue was $1,110 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,110 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,270 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $20 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $16 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(483.33 / 1254.073) / (464.211 / 1109.737)
=0.385408 / 0.418307
=0.9214

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1109.737 / 1109.737) / (1254.073 / 1254.073)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 18.942) / 2471.108) / (1 - (0 + 20.273) / 2270.09)
=0.992335 / 0.99107
=1.0013

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1254.073 / 1109.737
=1.1301

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9.465 / (9.465 + 20.273)) / (6.777 / (6.777 + 18.942))
=0.31828 / 0.263502
=1.2079

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 1254.073) / (0 / 1109.737)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11.861 + 0) / 2471.108) / ((15.733 + 0) / 2270.09)
=0.0048 / 0.006931
=0.6925

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(99.255 - 0 - 194.498) / 2471.108
=-0.038543

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Safety Insurance Group has a M-score of -2.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 mean?
Safety Insurance Group (SAFT) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Safety Insurance Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Safety Insurance Group ranks #199 out of 399 companies in the Insurance industry, placing it in the top 49.9%.
Is Safety Insurance Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Safety Insurance Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Based on the distribution chart, Safety Insurance Group ranks #199 out of 399 companies in the Insurance industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Safety Insurance Group has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Safety Insurance Group's Beneish M-Score compare to UVE and HGTY?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, Safety Insurance Group ranks #199 out of 399 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Safety Insurance Group in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Insurance company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Safety Insurance Group and its competitors. Safety Insurance Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Safety Insurance Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Safety Insurance Group (SAFT) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $101.23, compared to a current price of $73.57 — trading 27.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Safety Insurance Group's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Safety Insurance Group (SAFT), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Safety Insurance Group (SAFT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Safety Insurance Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $73.57 is trading 27.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $101.23. GuruFocus considers Safety Insurance Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for SAFT:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.49
  • GF Value™: $101.23 vs. price of $73.57 (27.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SAFT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Safety Insurance Group Business Description

Other Exchanges SFN:Germany
Address 20 Custom House Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Safety Insurance Group Inc is a provider of private passenger automobile, commercial automobile, and homeowners insurance in Massachusetts. The company also offers property and casualty insurance products, including commercial automobiles, homeowners, dwelling fire, umbrella, and business owner policies. The company operates in the business segment of Property and casualty insurance operations.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SAFT

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$73.57
Price
$101.23
GF Value