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ASFH (Asiafin Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is Asiafin Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Asiafin Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Asiafin Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Asiafin Holdings Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Asiafin Holdings Corp (OTCPK:ASFH) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
TISI CAHO YSXT DLHC WFCF WBQNL SFRX NISN SGRP NTIP LSE:REL CTAS TSX:TRI CPRT XAMS:WKL GPN TSX:RBA ASX:BXB LSE:RTO ULS
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan Sultan Ismail, Suite 30.02, 30th Floor, Menara KH (Promet), Kuala Lumpur, SGR, MYS, 50250
Website
https://www.asiafingroup.com
Asiafin Holdings Corp operates through its wholly owned subsidiaries by offering a range of system solutions in Payment Processing, Robotic Process Automation (RPA), and Regulatory Technology (RegTech) to financial institutions, regulatory agencies, professional service providers and private enterprises from various industries, with existing client in the Asia region. The company generates all of its revenue from the Malaysia region.
Executives
Hui Yin Cham officer: Principal Financial Officer ZF-7 LE JARDINE CONDO, JALAN PANDAN INDAH 26, KUALA LUMPUR N8 55100
Seatech Ventures Corp. 10 percent owner 11-05&11-06, TOWER A,, AVE 3 VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE,, BANGSAR SOUTH, KUALA LUMPUR N8 59200
Kai Cheong Wong director, officer: CEO NO.31, JALAN SL 3/3, BANDAR SUNGAI LONG, KAJANG N8 43000
Swee Ping Hoo 10 percent owner 20, JALAN SERING 7,, TAMAN SUNGAI SERING, BATU 9,, CHERAS N8 43200
See Unicorn Ventures Sdn Bhd 10 percent owner 11-05, TOWER A, AVE 3,, VERTICAL BUSINESS SUITE, JALAN KERINCHI, BANGSAR SOUTH N8 59200
Kok Wah Seah director B-13-3, PAPILLON DESA HILL, JALAN MORIB, TAMAN DESA, KUALA LUMPUR N8 58100