CZWI (Citizens Community Bancorp) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

What is Citizens Community Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Citizens Community Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Citizens Community Bancorp Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Citizens Community Bancorp's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Citizens Community Bancorp Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Citizens Community Bancorp Inc (NAS:CZWI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2174 EastRidge Center, Eau Claire, WI, USA, 54701

Website

https://www.ccf.us

Citizens Community Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company that offers traditional community banking services to businesses, Agricultural operators, and consumers, including one-to-four-family residential mortgages. it also offers a variety of loan products including commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, agricultural real estate loans, agricultural operating loans, residential mortgages, home equity lines-of-credit, and consumer loans and offers deposit products through its branches, including demand deposits, various savings and money-market accounts and certificates of deposit. The company's sources of funds are deposits; amortization, prepayments, and maturities of outstanding loans; other short- term investments; and funds provided from operations.

Executives

Stephen M Bianchi	officer: CEO and President	225 S. MAIN AVENUE, SIOUX FALLS SD 57104
James S Broucek	officer: Chief Financial Officer
Timothy L Olson	director	2727 PINE VIEW ROAD, EAU CLAIRE WI 54703
James D Moll	director	400 9TH AVE SW, WELLS MN 56097
Kristina M Bourget	director	1703 PINE PARK DRIVE, EAU CLAIRE WI 54701
Kathleen Skarvan	other: Director of Subsidiary	40 WEST HIGHLAND PARK DR NE, HUTCHINSON MN 55350
Francis E Felber	director	754 OAK ST, BARRON WI 54812
William Glen Bertrand	other: Director of Subsidiary	E3420 N PINECREEK ROAD, ELEVA WI 54738
Richard Mchugh	director, other: Chairman	C/O CITIZENS COMMUNITY BANCORP, 2174 EASTRIDGE CENTER, EAU CLAIRE WI 54701
Nicholas William Amundsen	other: Director of Subsidiary	S4443 RYGG ROAD, EAU CLAIRE WI 54701
Martin S. Friedman	10 percent owner	7901 JONES BRANCH DR. SUITE 210, MCLEAN VA 22102
James R Lang	director	2194 EASTRIDGE CENTER, EAU CLAIRE WI 54701
Michael R Conner	other: Director of Subsidiary	1124 CUMMINGS COURT, EAU CLAIRE WI 54701
Brian R Schilling	director	C/O CITIZENS COMMUNITY BANCORP, 2174 EASTRIDGE CENTER, EAU CLAIRE WI 54701
Michael L Swenson	director	1414 WEST HAMILTON AVE., STE 3, EAU CLAIRE WI 54701