HarborOne Bancorp (HarborOne Bancorp) Predictability Rank

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What is HarborOne Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

HarborOne Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

HarborOne Bancorp Predictability Rank Related Terms

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HarborOne Bancorp (HarborOne Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » HarborOne Bancorp Inc (NAS:HONE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

1S4:Germany

Address

770 Oak Street, Brockton, MA, USA, 02301

Website

https://www.harborone.com

HarborOne Bancorp Inc is a bank holding company. The company is engaged in providing financial services like accepting deposits, lending loans, online and mobile banking, cash management, credit cards, money market accounts, and wealth management. The Company has two reportable segments: HarborOne Bank and HarborOne Mortgage. The bank provides financial services to individuals and businesses online and through its 24 full-service branches located in Massachusetts and Rhode Island, one limited-service branch, and a commercial lending office in each of Boston, Massachusetts and Providence, Rhode Island.

Executives

Joseph F Casey	officer: President & COO	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Michael James Sullivan	director, officer: Chairman of the Board	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Linda Simmons	officer: Senior V.P., CFO	6 VALLEY DRIVE, SOUTH DARTMOUTH MA 02748
Brent W. Grable	officer: SVP, CHIEF INFORMATION OFFICER	HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Susan Bugnacki Stewart	officer: CHIEF HUMAN RESOURCES OFFICER	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Gordon Jezard	director	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Joseph E. Mcquade	officer: Chief Enterprise Risk Officer	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCTON MA 02301
Anne H. Margulies	director	C/O HENRY SCHEIN, INC., 135 DURYEA ROAD, MELVILLE NY 11747
James W. Blake	director, officer: CEO & Secretary	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
David E. Tryder	officer: Senior V. P. - CMO	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Barry R. Koretz	director	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Andreana Santangelo	director	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Kevin M. Hamel	officer: Chief Information Officer	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Inez Friedman-boyce	officer: General Counsel	C/O HARBORONE BANCORP, INC., 770 OAK STREET, BROCKTON MA 02301
Mark T Langone	officer: SVP-Chief Enterprise Risk Off