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Urban OutfittersFRA:UOF -1.43%87 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.54% as of Apr. 2026, which is 91% above its 10-year median of 9.17. GuruFocus rates FRA:UOF with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of €53.15. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 794 Retail - Cyclical companies, Urban Outfitters ranks better than 62.47% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Urban Outfitters's forward rate of return for was 17.54%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Urban Outfitters's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:UOF'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -14.63 Med: 9.17 Max: 23.86
Current: 17.41
During the past 13 years, Urban Outfitters's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.86. The lowest was -14.63. And the median was 9.17.
FRA:UOF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 62.47% of 794
companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 12.85
vs FRA:UOF: 17.41
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Urban Outfitters (FRA:UOF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Urban Outfitters Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Urban Outfitters Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Urban Outfitters's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Urban Outfitters Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
FRA:UOF vs VSXY, GAP, BOOT: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Urban Outfitters's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Urban Outfitters Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Urban Outfitters's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Urban Outfitters's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Urban Outfitters Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.54% mean?
Urban Outfitters (FRA:UOF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.54% as of Apr. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Urban Outfitters and its competitors. This is 91% above median its historical median of 9.17. According to the industry distribution chart, Urban Outfitters ranks #298 out of 794 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 37.5%.
Is Urban Outfitters' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Urban Outfitters' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.54% is 91% above median its 10-year median of 9.17. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.85. Urban Outfitters' value of 17.54% is 36.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Urban Outfitters ranks #298 out of 794 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Urban Outfitters has a GF Score™ of 87/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Urban Outfitters' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to VSXY and GAP?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Urban Outfitters ranks #298 out of 794 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Urban Outfitters in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.85. Urban Outfitters' value of 17.54% is 36.5% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 9.17 vs. the industry median of 12.85, Urban Outfitters has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Retail - Cyclical companies is 12.85, based on 794 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Urban Outfitters's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.54% is 36.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Urban Outfitters and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.85 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Urban Outfitters's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.54%, which is 91% above median its own 10-year median of 9.17. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Urban Outfitters stock overvalued right now?
Urban Outfitters (FRA:UOF) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.54%. The stock's GF Value™ is €53.15, compared to a current price of €65.37 — trading 23% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.54%, which is 91% above median its 10-year median of 9.17 and 36.5% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 12.85. Urban Outfitters' overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Urban Outfitters (FRA:UOF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.54% as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Urban Outfitters (FRA:UOF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Urban Outfitters stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of €65.37 is trading 23% above its estimated GF Value™ of €53.15.
Key valuation signals for FRA:UOF:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 17.54% (91% above median its 10-year median of 9.17)
GF Value™: €53.15 vs. price of €65.37 (23% above fair value)
Industry Position: 36.5% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#298 of 794)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:UOF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Founded in 1970, Philadelphia-based Urban Outfitters is a multibrand apparel and home goods retailer that operates nearly 800 stores and e-commerce in the US, which accounts for about 87% of sales, as well as in other regions. Its retail nameplates are Urban Outfitters (22% of fiscal 2026 sales), Free People/Movement (26%), and Anthropologie (42%). Retail accounted for 86% of fiscal 2026 revenue, but Urban Outfitters also sells products through a wholesale operation, owns some restaurants, and operates a fast-growing clothing rental and resale business called Nuuly (9% of sales). Urban Outfitters primarily markets to young adults and offers products across apparel (66% of sales), home goods (16% of sales), accessories (13% of sales), and more.
87GF Score
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