Matica Fintec SpA (MIL:MFT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -20.01% (As of Dec. 2025)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MIL:MFT Matica Fintec SpA MIL:MFT
41 GF Score
Price €2.04
GF Value €0.74
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 13 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Matica Fintec SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Matica Fintec SpA MIL:MFT -3.77% 41 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -20.01% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus rates MIL:MFT with a GF Score™ of 41/100 and a GF Value™ of €0.74 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 13 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,721 Hardware companies, Matica Fintec SpA ranks worse than 84.54% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Matica Fintec SpA's forward rate of return for was -20.01%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Matica Fintec SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:MFT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -21.02   Med: 16.38   Max: 19.24
Current: -18.55

During the past 8 years, Matica Fintec SpA's highest Forward Rate of Return was 19.24. The lowest was -21.02. And the median was 16.38.

MIL:MFT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
84.54% of 1721 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 4.34 vs MIL:MFT: -18.55

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Matica Fintec SpA  (MIL:MFT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Matica Fintec SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Matica Fintec SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Matica Fintec SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Matica Fintec SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Matica Fintec SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 18.15 16.41 -20.01

Matica Fintec SpA Semi-Annual Data
Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.15 0.00 16.41 0.00 -20.01

MIL:MFT vs DELL, ANET, SNDK: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Matica Fintec SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Matica Fintec SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Matica Fintec SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Matica Fintec SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


MIL:MFT
41GF Score
Matica Fintec SpA MIL:MFT
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Matica Fintec SpA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Matica Fintec SpA's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.29733333/1.92+-0.0452
=-20.01 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -20.01% mean?
Matica Fintec SpA (MIL:MFT) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -20.01% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Matica Fintec SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Matica Fintec SpA ranks #1455 out of 1721 companies in the Hardware industry, placing it in the top 84.5%.
Is Matica Fintec SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Matica Fintec SpA's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -20.01%. Based on the distribution chart, Matica Fintec SpA ranks #1455 out of 1721 companies in the Hardware industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Matica Fintec SpA has a GF Score™ of 41/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Matica Fintec SpA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to DELL and ANET?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, Matica Fintec SpA ranks #1455 out of 1721 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Matica Fintec SpA in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.34. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Hardware company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Hardware companies is 4.34, based on 1,721 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Matica Fintec SpA and its competitors. For the Hardware industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Matica Fintec SpA's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -20.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Matica Fintec SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Matica Fintec SpA (MIL:MFT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €0.74, compared to a current price of €2.04 — trading 175.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -20.01%. Matica Fintec SpA's overall GF Score™ is 41/100 with 13 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Matica Fintec SpA (MIL:MFT), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -20.01% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Matica Fintec SpA (MIL:MFT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Matica Fintec SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €2.04 is trading 175.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €0.74. GuruFocus considers Matica Fintec SpA to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MIL:MFT:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -20.01%
  • GF Value™: €0.74 vs. price of €2.04 (175.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 41/100 with 13 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIL:MFT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Matica Fintec SpA Business Description

Address Via Giuseppe Parini 2, Milan, ITA
Matica Fintec SpA designs, develops and sells technological solutions for Banking and Government Institutions. The company specializes in the design, development, and marketing of software and integrated security equipment for credit cards, identity cards, passports, driving licenses, access control badges, etc. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from its business in Europe and the rest from South America, Asia, the United States, Africa, United Arab Emirates, India, the Middle East, Italy, and other regions.
41GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIL:MFT

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€2.04
Price
€0.74
GF Value