RVRF (River Financial) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 20.75% (As of Jun. 2026) — 33% Above Median

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RVRF River Financial Corp RVRF
70 GF Score
Price $46.00
GF Value $41.40
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is River Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

River Financial RVRF 70 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.75% as of Jun. 2026, which is 33% above its 10-year median of 15.59. GuruFocus rates RVRF with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $41.40 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,418 Banks companies, River Financial ranks better than 68.9% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. River Financial's forward rate of return for was 20.75%.

The historical rank and industry rank for River Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

RVRF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.06   Med: 15.59   Max: 21.24
Current: 21.14

During the past 11 years, River Financial's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.24. The lowest was 11.06. And the median was 15.59.

RVRF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
68.9% of 1418 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 15.34 vs RVRF: 21.14

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


River Financial  (OTCPK:RVRF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


River Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


River Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for River Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

River Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

River Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.34 14.63 11.06 14.23 19.64

River Financial Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.63 18.66 19.64 19.49 20.75

RVRF vs MVBF, FRST, NECB: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, River Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


River Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, River Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where River Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


RVRF
70GF Score
River Financial Corp RVRF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

River Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

River Financial's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=4.30133333/48+0.1179
=20.75 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.75% mean?
River Financial (RVRF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.75% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on River Financial and its competitors. This is 33% above median its historical median of 15.59. Over the past decade, River Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 11.06 to 21.24. According to the industry distribution chart, River Financial ranks #441 out of 1418 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 31.1%.
Is River Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
River Financial's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.75% is 33% above median its 10-year median of 15.59. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 11.06 to a high of 21.24. The Banks industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.34. River Financial's value of 20.75% is 35.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, River Financial ranks #441 out of 1418 companies in the Banks industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, River Financial has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does River Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MVBF and FRST?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, River Financial ranks #441 out of 1418 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts River Financial in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.34. River Financial's value of 20.75% is 35.3% above this benchmark. Historically, River Financial's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 11.06 to 21.24 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 15.59 vs. the industry median of 15.34, River Financial has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Banks company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Banks companies is 15.34, based on 1,418 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. River Financial's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.75% is 35.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on River Financial and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. River Financial's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.75%, which is 33% above median its own 10-year median of 15.59. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is River Financial stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, River Financial (RVRF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $41.40, compared to a current price of $46.00 — trading 11.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.75%, which is 33% above median its 10-year median of 15.59 and 35.3% above the Banks industry median of 15.34. River Financial's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For River Financial (RVRF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.75% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is River Financial (RVRF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, River Financial stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $46.00 is trading 11.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $41.40. GuruFocus considers River Financial to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for RVRF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 20.75% (33% above median its 10-year median of 15.59)
  • GF Value™: $41.40 vs. price of $46.00 (11.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 35.3% above the Banks median (#441 of 1418)

No single metric tells the full story. See the RVRF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


River Financial Business Description

Address 2611 Legends Drive, Prattville, AL, USA, 36066
River Financial Corp is a bank holding company. It provides commercial and consumer banking services to businesses, business owners, and professionals in the United States. It offers services such as loan, deposits, electronic banking and other banking services. It offers demand deposits, savings and time deposits, interest-bearing transaction accounts, money market accounts, negotiable orders of withdrawal accounts, as well as certificate of deposits. Companies principal sources of income are interest and fees collected on loans, interest collected on other investments, fees earned from the origination and sale of residential mortgage loans, and service charges, as well as income from investment brokerage services.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for RVRF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$46.00
Price
$41.40
GF Value