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Lakeland Financial (Lakeland Financial) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Lakeland Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Lakeland Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Lakeland Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Lakeland Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lakeland Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Lakeland Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lakeland Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Lakeland Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.12

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Lakeland Financial  (NAS:LKFN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Lakeland Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Lakeland Financial (Lakeland Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
202 East Center Street, P.O.Box 1387, Warsaw, IN, USA, 46581-1387
Lakeland Financial Corp is a bank holding company. It provides commercial, retail, wealth advisory and investment management services. Lakeland offers a broad array of products and services throughout its Northern and Central Indiana markets. The company offers commercial and consumer banking services, as well as trust and wealth management, brokerage, and treasury management commercial services. It serves a wide variety of industries including, among others, commercial real estate, manufacturing, agriculture, construction, retail, wholesale, finance and insurance, accommodation and food services and healthcare.
Executives
Bartels Robert E Jr director LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
M Scott Welch director 6 LONGWOOD COURT, ELKHART IN 46516
Jonathan P Steiner officer: Senior Vice President LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Emily E Pichon director LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Brian J Smith director LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Donald Robinson-gay officer: Senior Vice President PO BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581
Kyra E Clark officer: Senior Vice President P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Steven D Ross director LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Brok A Lahrman officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581
James Rickard Donovan officer: SVP, General Counsel P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Stephanie R Leniski officer: Senior Vice President P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Blake Augsburger director P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581
Michael L Kubacki director, officer: President LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Lisa M O'neill officer: EVP & CFO LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387
Michael E Gavin officer: EVP & CCO LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 1387, WARSAW IN 46581-1387